Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #63,308 of 84,120 nationally
Bonnycastle Neighborhood Eviction Risk: Lower , Louisville
Tract 21111008500 · Jefferson County, KY · pop 2,039 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
Census tract 21111008500 covers part of the Bonnycastle Neighborhood area of Louisville, KY, and scores 3.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,039. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.2/10.
Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19%
Stable renters 25%
Owners 56%
Tract context
Occupied units1,024
Renter share44.4%
SVI overall0.22
Poverty rate11.9%
Median income$100,441
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
15
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
37
th percentile
Low
Within state
33
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Louisville and the region
Centroid at 38.2328, -85.7001 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bonnycastle Neighborhood scores 3.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Louisville
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.0
State political climate
Kentucky legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
11.9% poverty · this tract
3.0
Supply constraint
$975 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Louisville
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Louisville
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Louisville
5.0
How Bonnycastle Neighborhood compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 22
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 42%Socioeconomic
- 8%Household composition
- 24%Racial/ethnic minority
- 29%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: A: Best
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 62%Grade A
- 27%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 233Total filings over 14 yrs
- 3.19%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.2%Peak (2005)
- 14Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 39% over the past 14 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Bonnycastle Neighborhood. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bonnycastle Neighborhood
The severe-burden share is 27%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.
Running cool, state political climate reads 2.1/10. The filing record is not thin: 233 evictions over 14 years of observation. It sits 0.8 points below the Jefferson County average of 4.0.
The worst year on record was 2005, when 6.2% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground A ("Best"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
In a typical year about 3.2% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 25% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3/10.
Rent consumes only 12% of average household income of $100,441, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 21111008500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21111008500?
Census tract 21111008500 in the Bonnycastle Neighborhood neighborhood scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 21111008500?
Median gross rent is $975/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 21111008500?
11.9% of residents in tract 21111008500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,039.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 21111008500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 22th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 42th, household 8th, minority 24th, housing 29th.
Q5
Is tract 21111008500 considered part of Bonnycastle Neighborhood?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 21111008500 fall within Bonnycastle Neighborhood (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 21111008500?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 233 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 21111008500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.19% of renter households, peaking at 6.2% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 21111008500 compare to Louisville overall?
Tract 21111008500 scores 3.2/10, lower than the parent city of Louisville at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Louisville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 21111008500 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Louisville
Top eight tracts in Louisville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · KY
Russell
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · KY
Russell
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · KY
Whiskey Row
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · KY
Russell
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · KY
21111002800
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · KY
21111011800
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · KY
Whiskey Row
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · KY
21111007102
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Related
Explore the geography around tract 21111008500
Parent city ↑
Louisville
4 / 10
Parent county ↑
Jefferson County
Parent state ↑
Kentucky
Sibling tract →
Bonnycastle Neighborhood
3 / 10
Sibling tract →
Bonnycastle Neighborhood
3 / 10
Sibling tract →
Bonnycastle Neighborhood
3 / 10
Methodology
How the score is built
Interactive map
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