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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Bonnycastle Neighborhood Eviction Risk: Lower , Louisville

Tract 21111007900 · Jefferson County, KY · pop 1,866 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

Census tract 21111007900 covers part of the Bonnycastle Neighborhood area of Louisville, KY, and scores 3/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 1,866. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.2/10.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 29% Owners 57%
Tract context
Occupied units886
Renter share42.6%
SVI overall0.20
Poverty rate4.6%
Median income$93,854

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 4 tracts In Bonnycastle Neighborhood
Elevated
Within parent city
10 th percentile
Rank, 10th percentileLowHigh
#81 of 90 tracts In Louisville
Very Low
Within county
29 th percentile
Rank, 29th percentileLowHigh
#153 of 216 tracts In Jefferson County
Low
Within state
27 th percentile
Rank, 27th percentileLowHigh
#959 of 1,306 tracts In Kentucky
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Louisville and the region

Centroid at 38.2513, -85.6915 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bonnycastle Neighborhood scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Louisville
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.0
State political climate
Kentucky legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
4.6% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$1,039 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Louisville
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Louisville
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Louisville
5.0

How Bonnycastle Neighborhood compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bonnycastle Neighborhood risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 0079004.0Louisvilleparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 20

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 278Total filings over 14 yrs
  • 5.06%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.7%Peak (2009)
  • 27Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 21111007900
Filings climbed 59% over the past 14 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Bonnycastle Neighborhood. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bonnycastle Neighborhood

On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.1/10. Against Jefferson County at 42.9%, roughly one in three of renters here are cost-burdened. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.

Severe burden reaches 11%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Against the Jefferson County average of 4.0, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.0 points.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 278 filings here across 14 tracked years. The worst year on record was 2009, when 7.7% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Louisville. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

In a typical year about 5.1% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Against average income of $93,854, annual rent is just 13%. Statewide the KY average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 21111007900

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21111007900?

Census tract 21111007900 in the Bonnycastle Neighborhood neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 21111007900?

Median gross rent is $1,039/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 32% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 21111007900?

4.6% of residents in tract 21111007900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,866.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 21111007900?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 20th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 29th, household 7th, minority 15th, housing 45th.
Q5

Is tract 21111007900 considered part of Bonnycastle Neighborhood?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 21111007900 fall within Bonnycastle Neighborhood (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 21111007900?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 278 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 21111007900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.06% of renter households, peaking at 7.7% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 21111007900 compare to Louisville overall?

Tract 21111007900 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Louisville at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Louisville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 21111007900 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Louisville

Top eight tracts in Louisville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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