Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Bonnycastle Neighborhood Eviction Risk: Lower , Louisville

Tract 21111008201 · Jefferson County, KY · pop 1,732 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

Census tract 21111008201 covers part of the Bonnycastle Neighborhood area of Louisville, KY, and scores 3/10 on landlord eviction risk. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.2/10.

Risk score

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 15% Stable renters 37% Owners 48%

Tract context

Occupied units1,000

Renter share51.5%

SVI overall0.05

Poverty rate2.1%

Median income$91,939

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Louisville and the region

Centroid at 38.2362, -85.7123 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bonnycastle Neighborhood scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Louisville

7.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.0

State political climate

Kentucky legislature & governorship

2.1

Economic stress

2.1% poverty · this tract

1.0

Supply constraint

$1,100 rent vs county FMR

3.3

Rent control risk

Inherited from Louisville

1.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Louisville

5.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Louisville

5.0

How Bonnycastle Neighborhood compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 5

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

25%Socioeconomic
2%Household composition
14%Racial/ethnic minority
16%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: A: Best

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

37%Grade A
26%Grade B
15%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Bonnycastle Neighborhood. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bonnycastle Neighborhood

Against Jefferson County at 42.9%, 29% of renters here are cost-burdened. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10.

Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. It sits 1.0 points below the Jefferson County average of 4.0. At $1,100 a month, rents run 9% over what the rest of Louisville commands.

This ground was mapped A ("Best") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Louisville. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.5/10.

Against average income of $91,939, annual rent is just 14%. Statewide the KY average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 21111008201

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21111008201?

Census tract 21111008201 in the Bonnycastle Neighborhood neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 21111008201?

Median gross rent is $1,100/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 29% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 21111008201?

2.1% of residents in tract 21111008201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,732.

How socially vulnerable is tract 21111008201?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 5th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 25th, household 2th, minority 14th, housing 16th.

Is tract 21111008201 considered part of Bonnycastle Neighborhood?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 21111008201 fall within Bonnycastle Neighborhood (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).

How does tract 21111008201 compare to Louisville overall?

Tract 21111008201 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Louisville at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Louisville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 21111008201 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Louisville

Top eight tracts in Louisville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.