Census Tract · Ranked #42,763 of 84,120 nationally

Louisville Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 21111007602 · Jefferson County, KY · pop 3,630

Louisville is where census tract 21111007602 sits, home to 3,630 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 5.5/10. On the national scale it ranks #35,942 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 40% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 21% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,004 a month against an average household income of $58,125 a year, roughly 21% of income at the averages. About 66% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

3.9

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 26% Stable renters 40% Owners 34%

Tract context

Occupied units2,253

Renter share65.7%

SVI overall0.61

Poverty rate12.9%

Median income$58,125

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Louisville and the region

Centroid at 38.2627, -85.7032 · click any tract to drill in

Why Louisville scores 3.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Louisville

7.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.0

State political climate

Kentucky legislature & governorship

2.1

Economic stress

12.9% poverty · this tract

3.2

Supply constraint

$1,004 rent vs county FMR

2.5

Rent control risk

Inherited from Louisville

1.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Louisville

5.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Louisville

5.0

How Louisville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 61

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

63%Socioeconomic
25%Household composition
59%Racial/ethnic minority
72%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
89%Grade C
11%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.¹

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

2,000Total filings over 14 yrs
11.51%Avg annual filing rate
15.3%Peak (2007)
130Filings in 2015 (latest validated)

Filings by year 2002 to 2015

Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 14 months.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Louisville

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 5.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Louisville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Jefferson County average of 5.5 and above the Kentucky statewide average of 4.7. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Part of this tract, about 11% of its area, sat in the redlined grade-D zone on 1930s HOLC maps, though its dominant grade was C ("Declining"). That lending history still correlates with present-day rent burden.

The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 61st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 21111007602

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21111007602?

Census tract 21111007602 in Louisville scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 21111007602?

Median gross rent is $1,004/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 21111007602?

12.9% of residents in tract 21111007602 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,630.

How socially vulnerable is tract 21111007602?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 61th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 63th, household 25th, minority 59th, housing 72th.

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 21111007602?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2,000 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 21111007602 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.51% of renter households, peaking at 15.3% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

How does tract 21111007602 compare to Louisville overall?

Tract 21111007602 scores 3.9/10, higher than the parent city of Louisville at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Louisville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 21111007602 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 11% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Louisville

Top eight tracts in Louisville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Eviction Lab tract-level court records (2000-2018) and Eviction Tracking System, Princeton University. Open Data Commons Attribution license. evictionlab.org