Skip to content
Census Tract · Ranked #42,763 of 84,120 nationally

Louisville Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 21111011302 · Jefferson County, KY · pop 7,718

Census tract 21111011302 belongs to Louisville/Jefferson County metro government (balance) in Jefferson County, Kentucky. It is home to 7,718 residents and scores 5.4/10, a moderate reading for landlords. That is riskier than roughly 53% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 41% of renter households, a severe level, and 16% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,271 a month against an average household income of $60,502 a year, roughly 25% of income at the averages. About 47% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 28% Owners 53%
Tract context
Occupied units2,585
Renter share46.9%
SVI overall0.76
Poverty rate16.2%
Median income$60,502

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#28 of 90 tracts In Louisville
Elevated
Within county
57 th percentile
Rank, 57th percentileLowHigh
#94 of 216 tracts In Jefferson County
Elevated
Within state
38 th percentile
Rank, 38th percentileLowHigh
#808 of 1,306 tracts In Kentucky
Low
National
49 th percentile
Rank, 49th percentileLowHigh
#42,763 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Louisville and the region

Centroid at 38.1746, -85.6673 · click any tract to drill in

Why Louisville scores 3.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Louisville
6.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.0
State political climate
Kentucky legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
16.2% poverty · this tract
4.1
Supply constraint
$1,271 rent vs county FMR
4.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Louisville
1.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Louisville
3.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Louisville
3.0

How Louisville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Louisville risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.93.9This tracttract 011302Louisville: 2.42.4Louisvilleparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.34.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 76

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 3,118Total filings over 14 yrs
  • 21.11%Avg annual filing rate
  • 36.3%Peak (2002)
  • 176Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 211110113022002: 374 filings (36.31/100 renter HHs)2003: 217 filings (21.07/100 renter HHs)2004: 243 filings (23.59/100 renter HHs)2005: 253 filings (26.77/100 renter HHs)2006: 270 filings (28.57/100 renter HHs)2007: 238 filings (25.19/100 renter HHs)2008: 199 filings (21.06/100 renter HHs)2009: 161 filings (17.04/100 renter HHs)2010: 221 filings (17.98/100 renter HHs)2011: 140 filings (11.59/100 renter HHs)2012: 164 filings (13.58/100 renter HHs)2013: 232 filings (19.21/100 renter HHs)2014: 230 filings (19.04/100 renter HHs)2015: 176 filings (14.57/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 53% over the past 14 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Louisville

The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 4.6/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Louisville eviction risk/Jefferson County metro government (balance), while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Jefferson County average of 5.5 and above the Kentucky statewide average of 4.7. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 3,118 eviction filings here over 14 tracked years, with about 21.1% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 36.3% of renter households in 2002.

The tract is Black and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 76th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 21111011302

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21111011302?

Census tract 21111011302 in Louisville scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 21111011302?

Median gross rent is $1,271/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 21111011302?

16.2% of residents in tract 21111011302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,718.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 21111011302?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 76th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 76th, household 88th, minority 82th, housing 39th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 21111011302?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 3,118 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 21111011302 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 21.11% of renter households, peaking at 36.3% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 21111011302 compare to Louisville overall?

Tract 21111011302 scores 3.9/10, higher than the parent city of Louisville at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Louisville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Louisville

Top eight tracts in Louisville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related