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Neighborhood · Ranked #52,479 of 84,120 nationally

Mainstrasse Village Eviction Risk: Lower , Covington

Tract 21117060300 · Kenton County, KY · pop 1,640 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

Census tract 21117060300 covers part of the Mainstrasse Village area of Covington, KY, and scores 3.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 1,640 residents. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25% Stable renters 30% Owners 45%
Tract context
Occupied units868
Renter share55.6%
SVI overall0.46
Poverty rate8.1%
Median income$69,091

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#3 of 4 tracts In Mainstrasse Village
Low
Within parent city
21 th percentile
Rank, 21st percentileLowHigh
#12 of 15 tracts In Covington
Low
Within county
58 th percentile
Rank, 58th percentileLowHigh
#19 of 44 tracts In Kenton County
Elevated
Within state
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#648 of 1,306 tracts In Kentucky
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Covington and the region

Centroid at 39.0830, -84.5188 · click any tract to drill in

Why Mainstrasse Village scores 3.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Covington
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.0
State political climate
Kentucky legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
8.1% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$1,178 rent vs county FMR
4.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Covington
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Covington
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Covington
4.0

How Mainstrasse Village compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Mainstrasse Village risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.8This tracttract 0603003.8Covingtonparent city3.8Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 46

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Mainstrasse Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Mainstrasse Village

Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.7/10. 21% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Against Kenton County at 37.9%, 46% of renters here are cost-burdened. On the softer side, economic stress reads 2/10.

At $1,178 a month, rents run 17% over what the rest of Covington commands. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Covington. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. Nationally it ranks #52,479 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.1/10. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

It tracks the Kenton County average of 3.8 closely. Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $69,091. 56% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 21117060300

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21117060300?

Census tract 21117060300 in the Mainstrasse Village neighborhood scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 21117060300?

Median gross rent is $1,178/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 21117060300?

8.1% of residents in tract 21117060300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,640.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 21117060300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 46th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 76th, household 2th, minority 31th, housing 70th.
Q5

Is tract 21117060300 considered part of Mainstrasse Village?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 21117060300 fall within Mainstrasse Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 21117060300 compare to Covington overall?

Tract 21117060300 scores 3.8/10, right in line with the parent city of Covington at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Covington eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7

Was tract 21117060300 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Covington

Top eight tracts in Covington ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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