Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #6,848 of 84,120 nationally
Historic District Eviction Risk: Elevated , Natchitoches
Tract 22069000700 · Natchitoches Parish, LA · pop 3,397 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
The Historic District area of Natchitoches anchors census tract 22069000700, which lands at 6.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 85% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
About 50% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 28% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $756 monthly, set against $35,740 in average yearly household income, roughly 25% of income at the averages. Renters make up 67% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
6.6
Elevated
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 34%
Stable renters 34%
Owners 32%
Tract context
Occupied units1,199
Renter share67.4%
SVI overall0.80
Poverty rate41.2%
Median income$35,740
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
67
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
80
th percentile
High
Within state
96
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Natchitoches and the region
Centroid at 31.7590, -93.0952 · click any tract to drill in
Why Historic District scores 6.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Natchitoches
4.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Louisiana legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
41.2% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$756 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Natchitoches
8.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Natchitoches
9.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Natchitoches
9.1
How Historic District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 80
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 94%Socioeconomic
- 7%Household composition
- 81%Racial/ethnic minority
- 89%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 28.7%Housing insecurity
- 24.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 41.1%Food insecurity
- 41.6%SNAP enrollment
- 21.0%Transit barriers
- 11.4%No health insurance
- 23.0%Frequent mental distress
- 46.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Historic District
The heaviest input here is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Natchitoches eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Natchitoches County average of 5.4 and above the Louisiana statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 80th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
In CDC survey modeling, about 28.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 24.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 22069000700
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 22069000700?
Census tract 22069000700 in the Historic District neighborhood scores 6.6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 22069000700?
Median gross rent is $756/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 22069000700?
41.2% of residents in tract 22069000700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,397.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 22069000700?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 80th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 7th, minority 81th, housing 89th.
Q5
Is tract 22069000700 considered part of Historic District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 22069000700 fall within Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 22069000700 struggle to pay rent?
About 28.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 24.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 22069000700 compare to Natchitoches overall?
Tract 22069000700 scores 6.6/10, higher than the parent city of Natchitoches at 2.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Natchitoches eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Natchitoches
Top eight tracts in Natchitoches ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related