Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #14,906 of 84,120 nationally
Natchitoches Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 22069000602 · Natchitoches Parish, LA · pop 4,152 · 47% of tract blocks fall in Natchitoches
Tract 22069000602 sits in Natchitoches eviction risk, LA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 6.6/10. It is home to 4,152 residents. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.5/10.
Risk score
6.6
Elevated
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23%
Stable renters 30%
Owners 47%
Tract context
Occupied units1,911
Renter share52.8%
SVI overall0.65
Poverty rate29.9%
Median income$45,386
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
70
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
93
th percentile
Very High
National
82
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Natchitoches and the region
Centroid at 31.7565, -93.0430 · click any tract to drill in
Why Natchitoches scores 6.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Natchitoches
4.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Louisiana legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
29.9% poverty · this tract
7.5
Supply constraint
$784 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Natchitoches
8.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Natchitoches
9.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Natchitoches
9.1
How Natchitoches compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 65
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 69%Socioeconomic
- 41%Household composition
- 73%Racial/ethnic minority
- 56%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 20.6%Housing insecurity
- 16.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 27.0%Food insecurity
- 25.3%SNAP enrollment
- 14.2%Transit barriers
- 8.0%No health insurance
- 20.9%Frequent mental distress
- 38.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Natchitoches
The severe-burden share is 27%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the high side, housing-court posture reads 9.1/10.
Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.8/10. The poverty rate is 30%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
It sits 1.5 points above the Natchitoches Parish average of 5.1. SNAP participation runs 25.3% against 15.2% nationally. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 16.3% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
On the national scale it lands near the 82nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 6.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Statewide the LA average is 4.4, so this tract runs 2.2 points hotter. 43% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 22069000602
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 22069000602?
Census tract 22069000602 in Natchitoches scores 6.6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 22069000602?
Median gross rent is $784/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 22069000602?
29.9% of residents in tract 22069000602 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,152.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 22069000602?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 65th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 69th, household 41th, minority 73th, housing 56th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 22069000602 struggle to pay rent?
About 20.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 22069000602 compare to Natchitoches overall?
Tract 22069000602 scores 6.6/10, higher than the parent city of Natchitoches at 5.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Natchitoches eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Natchitoches
Top eight tracts in Natchitoches ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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