Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #8,138 of 84,120 nationally
Natchitoches Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 22069000602 · Natchitoches Parish, LA · pop 4,152 · 47% of tract blocks fall in Natchitoches
Census tract 22069000602 belongs to Natchitoches, Louisiana. It is home to 4,152 residents and scores 5.9/10, a moderate reading for landlords. That is riskier than about 72% of US census tracts.
43% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 27% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $784 a month against an average household income of $45,386 a year, roughly 21% of income at the averages. Renters make up 53% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
6.4
Elevated
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23%
Stable renters 30%
Owners 47%
Tract context
Occupied units1,911
Renter share52.8%
SVI overall0.65
Poverty rate29.9%
Median income$45,386
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
70
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
93
th percentile
Very High
National
90
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Natchitoches and the region
Centroid at 31.7565, -93.0430 · click any tract to drill in
Why Natchitoches scores 6.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Natchitoches
4.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Louisiana legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
29.9% poverty · this tract
7.5
Supply constraint
$784 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Natchitoches
8.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Natchitoches
9.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Natchitoches
9.1
How Natchitoches compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 65
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 69%Socioeconomic
- 41%Household composition
- 73%Racial/ethnic minority
- 56%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 20.6%Housing insecurity
- 16.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 27.0%Food insecurity
- 25.3%SNAP enrollment
- 14.2%Transit barriers
- 8.0%No health insurance
- 20.9%Frequent mental distress
- 38.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Natchitoches
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 9.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Natchitoches eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Natchitoches County average of 5.4 and above the Louisiana statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 65th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
In CDC survey modeling, about 20.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 16.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 22069000602
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 22069000602?
Census tract 22069000602 in Natchitoches scores 6.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 22069000602?
Median gross rent is $784/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 22069000602?
29.9% of residents in tract 22069000602 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,152.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 22069000602?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 65th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 69th, household 41th, minority 73th, housing 56th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 22069000602 struggle to pay rent?
About 20.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 22069000602 compare to Natchitoches overall?
Tract 22069000602 scores 6.4/10, higher than the parent city of Natchitoches at 2.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Natchitoches eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Natchitoches
Top eight tracts in Natchitoches ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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