Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #12,919 of 84,120 nationally
Natchitoches Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 22069000601 · Natchitoches Parish, LA · pop 4,268 · 87% of tract blocks fall in Natchitoches
Census tract 22069000601 covers part of Natchitoches, LA, and scores 7/10 on landlord eviction risk. Annualized rent equals 57% of average household income of $16,629, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.
Risk score
7
Elevated
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 47%
Stable renters 40%
Owners 13%
Tract context
Occupied units1,239
Renter share86.4%
SVI overall0.87
Poverty rate52.4%
Median income$16,629
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
100
th percentile
Very High
Within state
98
th percentile
Very High
National
85
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Natchitoches and the region
Centroid at 31.7302, -93.0923 · click any tract to drill in
Why Natchitoches scores 7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Natchitoches
4.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Louisiana legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
52.4% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$787 rent vs county FMR
2.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Natchitoches
8.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Natchitoches
9.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Natchitoches
9.1
How Natchitoches compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 87
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 95%Socioeconomic
- 3%Household composition
- 77%Racial/ethnic minority
- 100%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 29.8%Housing insecurity
- 24.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 41.8%Food insecurity
- 39.8%SNAP enrollment
- 23.8%Transit barriers
- 12.7%No health insurance
- 28.0%Frequent mental distress
- 44.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Natchitoches
The score leans hardest on economic stress at 10/10. The poverty rate is 52%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
Against Natchitoches Parish at 39.2%, 54% of renters here are cost-burdened. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 9.5/10.
The severe-burden share is 27%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. This is renter territory: 86% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Sitting well above the midpoint, housing-court posture reads 9.1/10.
It sits 1.9 points above the Natchitoches Parish average of 5.1. Housing insecurity runs 29.8% against 14.2% nationally. Disability prevalence runs 44.5% against 31.5% nationally.
That is riskier than roughly 85% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.9/10. Statewide the LA average is 4.4, so this tract runs 2.6 points hotter.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 22069000601
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 22069000601?
Census tract 22069000601 in Natchitoches scores 7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 22069000601?
Median gross rent is $787/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 22069000601?
52.4% of residents in tract 22069000601 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,268.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 22069000601?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 87th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 3th, minority 77th, housing 100th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 22069000601 struggle to pay rent?
About 29.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 24.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 22069000601 compare to Natchitoches overall?
Tract 22069000601 scores 7/10, higher than the parent city of Natchitoches at 5.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Natchitoches eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Natchitoches
Top eight tracts in Natchitoches ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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