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Census Tract · Ranked #6,289 of 84,120 nationally

Natchitoches Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 22069000400 · Natchitoches Parish, LA · pop 3,813 · 70% of tract blocks fall in Natchitoches

Here is how census tract 22069000400, in Natchitoches eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 6.2/10 eviction-risk score (Elevated tier) across a population of 3,813. On the national scale it ranks #16,344 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

52% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 38% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $780 a month against an average household income of $32,888 a year, roughly 28% of income at the averages. About 53% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
6.7
Elevated
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28% Stable renters 26% Owners 46%
Tract context
Occupied units1,185
Renter share53.4%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate33.2%
Median income$32,888

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#2 of 7 tracts In Natchitoches
High
Within county
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 11 tracts In Natchitoches Parish
Very High
Within state
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#41 of 1,379 tracts In Louisiana
Very High
National
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#6,289 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Natchitoches and the region

Centroid at 31.8006, -93.0843 · click any tract to drill in

Why Natchitoches scores 6.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Natchitoches
4.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Louisiana legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
33.2% poverty · this tract
8.3
Supply constraint
$780 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Natchitoches
8.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Natchitoches
9.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Natchitoches
9.1

How Natchitoches compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Natchitoches risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.76.7This tracttract 000400Natchitoches: 2.92.9Natchitochesparent cityCounty: 5.55.5Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.64.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 97

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Natchitoches

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 9.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Natchitoches eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Natchitoches County average of 5.4 and above the Louisiana statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 97th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 34.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 29.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 22069000400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 22069000400?

Census tract 22069000400 in Natchitoches scores 6.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 22069000400?

Median gross rent is $780/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 22069000400?

33.2% of residents in tract 22069000400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,813.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 22069000400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 81th, minority 85th, housing 96th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 22069000400 struggle to pay rent?

About 34.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 29.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 22069000400 compare to Natchitoches overall?

Tract 22069000400 scores 6.7/10, higher than the parent city of Natchitoches at 2.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Natchitoches eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Natchitoches

Top eight tracts in Natchitoches ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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