Within parent city
83
th percentile
High
Census Tract · Ranked #13,349 of 84,120 nationally
Natchitoches Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 22069000400 · Natchitoches Parish, LA · pop 3,813 · 70% of tract blocks fall in Natchitoches
Census tract 22069000400 covers part of Natchitoches, LA, and scores 6.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,813 residents. Severe burden reaches 38%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
6.9
Elevated
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28%
Stable renters 26%
Owners 46%
Tract context
Occupied units1,185
Renter share53.4%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate33.2%
Median income$32,888
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
90
th percentile
Very High
Within state
98
th percentile
Very High
National
84
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Natchitoches and the region
Centroid at 31.8006, -93.0843 · click any tract to drill in
Why Natchitoches scores 6.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Natchitoches
4.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Louisiana legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
33.2% poverty · this tract
8.3
Supply constraint
$780 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Natchitoches
8.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Natchitoches
9.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Natchitoches
9.1
How Natchitoches compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 97
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 95%Socioeconomic
- 81%Household composition
- 85%Racial/ethnic minority
- 96%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 34.0%Housing insecurity
- 29.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 47.9%Food insecurity
- 50.4%SNAP enrollment
- 24.2%Transit barriers
- 12.8%No health insurance
- 23.8%Frequent mental distress
- 50.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Natchitoches
What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.5/10. Housing insecurity runs 34.0% against 14.2% nationally. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 29.0% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
Cost burden runs 52% here against 39.2% across Natchitoches Parish. Sitting well above the midpoint, housing-court posture reads 9.1/10.
The poverty rate is 33%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.8/10. It sits 1.8 points above the Natchitoches Parish average of 5.1.
Nationally it ranks #13,349 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 9.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Statewide the LA average is 4.4, so this tract runs 2.5 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 22069000400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 22069000400?
Census tract 22069000400 in Natchitoches scores 6.9/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 22069000400?
Median gross rent is $780/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 22069000400?
33.2% of residents in tract 22069000400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,813.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 22069000400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 81th, minority 85th, housing 96th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 22069000400 struggle to pay rent?
About 34.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 29.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 22069000400 compare to Natchitoches overall?
Tract 22069000400 scores 6.9/10, higher than the parent city of Natchitoches at 5.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Natchitoches eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Natchitoches
Top eight tracts in Natchitoches ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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