Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #39,389 of 84,120 nationally
Waterville Main Street Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 23011024201 · Kennebec County, ME · pop 3,226 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
Eviction risk in Waterville Main Street Historic District in Waterville centers on tract 23011024201, which scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 3,226 residents. That is riskier than roughly 57% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 29% of renter households, a moderate level, and 29% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,076 monthly, set against $90,313 in average yearly household income, roughly 14% of income at the averages. Renters make up 25% of occupied homes.
Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%
Stable renters 18%
Owners 75%
Tract context
Occupied units1,169
Renter share25.1%
SVI overall0.36
Poverty rate14.0%
Median income$90,313
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
57
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
57
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Waterville and the region
Centroid at 44.5470, -69.6508 · click any tract to drill in
Why Waterville Main Street Historic District scores 4.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Waterville
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Maine legislature & governorship
4.0
Economic stress
14.0% poverty · this tract
3.5
Supply constraint
$1,076 rent vs county FMR
4.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Waterville
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Waterville
9.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Waterville
7.7
How Waterville Main Street Historic District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 36
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 33%Socioeconomic
- 34%Household composition
- 6%Racial/ethnic minority
- 64%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Waterville Main Street Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.0%Housing insecurity
- 7.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.1%Food insecurity
- 15.6%SNAP enrollment
- 8.0%Transit barriers
- 7.7%No health insurance
- 16.9%Frequent mental distress
- 36.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Waterville Main Street Historic District
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 9.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Waterville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Kennebec County average of 5.2 and above the Maine statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 36th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
In CDC survey modeling, about 10.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 23011024201
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 23011024201?
Census tract 23011024201 in the Waterville Main Street Historic District neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 23011024201?
Median gross rent is $1,076/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 29% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 23011024201?
14.0% of residents in tract 23011024201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,226.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 23011024201?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 36th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 33th, household 34th, minority 6th, housing 64th.
Q5
Is tract 23011024201 considered part of Waterville Main Street Historic District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 23011024201 fall within Waterville Main Street Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 23011024201 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 23011024201 compare to Waterville overall?
Tract 23011024201 scores 4.1/10, lower than the parent city of Waterville at 4.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Waterville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Waterville
Top eight tracts in Waterville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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