Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #8,912 of 84,120 nationally
Waterville Main Street Historic District Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 23011024102 · Kennebec County, ME · pop 4,847 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Here is how census tract 23011024102, in the Waterville Main Street Historic District neighborhood of Waterville eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 6.6/10 eviction-risk score (Elevated tier) across a population of 4,847. It lands near the 89th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 46% of renter households, a severe level, and 20% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $945 a month while the average household earns $35,755 a year, roughly 32% of income at the averages. Renters make up 73% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
6.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 34%
Stable renters 40%
Owners 26%
Tract context
Occupied units2,572
Renter share73.4%
SVI overall0.80
Poverty rate32.9%
Median income$35,755
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
100
th percentile
Very High
Within state
99
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Waterville and the region
Centroid at 44.5480, -69.6353 · click any tract to drill in
Why Waterville Main Street Historic District scores 6.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Waterville
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Maine legislature & governorship
4.0
Economic stress
32.9% poverty · this tract
8.2
Supply constraint
$945 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Waterville
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Waterville
9.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Waterville
7.7
How Waterville Main Street Historic District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 80
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 85%Socioeconomic
- 55%Household composition
- 5%Racial/ethnic minority
- 92%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Waterville Main Street Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 16.7%Housing insecurity
- 13.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 20.5%Food insecurity
- 29.2%SNAP enrollment
- 13.7%Transit barriers
- 11.6%No health insurance
- 22.7%Frequent mental distress
- 40.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Waterville Main Street Historic District
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 9.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Waterville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Kennebec County average of 5.2 and above the Maine statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 80th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
In CDC survey modeling, about 16.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 13.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 23011024102
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 23011024102?
Census tract 23011024102 in the Waterville Main Street Historic District neighborhood scores 6.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 23011024102?
Median gross rent is $945/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 23011024102?
32.9% of residents in tract 23011024102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,847.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 23011024102?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 80th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 85th, household 55th, minority 5th, housing 92th.
Q5
Is tract 23011024102 considered part of Waterville Main Street Historic District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 23011024102 fall within Waterville Main Street Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 23011024102 struggle to pay rent?
About 16.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 23011024102 compare to Waterville overall?
Tract 23011024102 scores 6.3/10, higher than the parent city of Waterville at 4.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Waterville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Waterville
Top eight tracts in Waterville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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