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Neighborhood · Ranked #11,153 of 84,120 nationally

Waterville Main Street Historic District Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 23011024102 · Kennebec County, ME · pop 4,847 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

23011024102 is a census tract in the Waterville Main Street Historic District area of Waterville, ME. It scores 7.3/10 for landlords. Population here is 4,847. It sits 3.0 points above the Kennebec County average of 4.3.

Risk score
7.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 34% Stable renters 40% Owners 26%
Tract context
Occupied units2,572
Renter share73.4%
SVI overall0.80
Poverty rate32.9%
Median income$35,755

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Waterville Main Street Historic District
Very High
Within parent city
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 4 tracts In Waterville
Elevated
Within county
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 36 tracts In Kennebec County
Very High
Within state
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#10 of 401 tracts In Maine
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Waterville and the region

Centroid at 44.5480, -69.6353 · click any tract to drill in

Why Waterville Main Street Historic District scores 7.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Waterville
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Maine legislature & governorship
4.0
Economic stress
32.9% poverty · this tract
8.2
Supply constraint
$945 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Waterville
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Waterville
9.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Waterville
7.7

How Waterville Main Street Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Waterville Main Street Historic District risk score vs. parent city / county / state7.3This tracttract 0241025.9Watervilleparent city4.3Countyavg tract in county4.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 80

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Waterville Main Street Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Waterville Main Street Historic District

The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.4/10. The poverty rate is 33%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

This is renter territory: 73% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Severe burden reaches 20%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Sitting well above the midpoint, economic stress reads 8.2/10. SNAP participation runs 29.2% against 15.2% nationally.

Against Kennebec County at 37.6%, 46% of renters here are cost-burdened. Running hot, housing-court posture reads 7.7/10.

On the national scale it lands near the 87th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the ME average is 4.5, so this tract runs 2.8 points hotter.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent is $945, close to the Waterville average.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 23011024102

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 23011024102?

Census tract 23011024102 in the Waterville Main Street Historic District neighborhood scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 23011024102?

Median gross rent is $945/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 23011024102?

32.9% of residents in tract 23011024102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,847.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 23011024102?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 80th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 85th, household 55th, minority 5th, housing 92th.
Q5

Is tract 23011024102 considered part of Waterville Main Street Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 23011024102 fall within Waterville Main Street Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 23011024102 struggle to pay rent?

About 16.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 23011024102 compare to Waterville overall?

Tract 23011024102 scores 7.3/10, higher than the parent city of Waterville at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Waterville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Waterville

Top eight tracts in Waterville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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