Census Tract · Ranked #13,349 of 84,120 nationally

Waterville Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 23011024202 · Kennebec County, ME · pop 3,674

Census tract 23011024202 covers part of Waterville, ME, and scores 6.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,674. Severe burden reaches 34%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score

6.9

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 18% Owners 64%

Tract context

Occupied units1,082

Renter share36.3%

SVI overall0.56

Poverty rate16.0%

Median income$45,000

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Waterville and the region

Centroid at 44.5323, -69.6714 · click any tract to drill in

Why Waterville scores 6.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Waterville

5.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.0

State political climate

Maine legislature & governorship

4.0

Economic stress

16.0% poverty · this tract

4.0

Supply constraint

$1,024 rent vs county FMR

3.8

Rent control risk

Inherited from Waterville

6.8

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.3

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Waterville

9.4

Housing court bias

Inherited from Waterville

7.7

How Waterville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 56

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

52%Socioeconomic
11%Household composition
39%Racial/ethnic minority
91%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

10.3%Housing insecurity
6.9%Utility-shutoff threat
12.0%Food insecurity
13.5%SNAP enrollment
10.0%Transit barriers
8.6%No health insurance
21.3%Frequent mental distress
37.0%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Waterville

Against the Kennebec County average of 4.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.6 points. The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.4/10. 51% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Kennebec County average of 37.6%.

On the high side, housing-court posture reads 7.7/10. That is riskier than roughly 84% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Social vulnerability reads 6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the ME average is 4.5, so this tract runs 2.4 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

Average gross rent is $1,024, close to the Waterville average. Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $45,000.

36% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 23011024202

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 23011024202?

Census tract 23011024202 in Waterville scores 6.9/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 23011024202?

Median gross rent is $1,024/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 23011024202?

16.0% of residents in tract 23011024202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,674.

How socially vulnerable is tract 23011024202?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 56th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 52th, household 11th, minority 39th, housing 91th.

What share of households in tract 23011024202 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 23011024202 compare to Waterville overall?

Tract 23011024202 scores 6.9/10, higher than the parent city of Waterville at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Waterville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Waterville

Top eight tracts in Waterville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.