Census Tract · Ranked #13,119 of 84,120 nationally

Waterville Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 23011024101 · Kennebec County, ME · pop 4,038

Landlord eviction risk in census tract 23011024101 (Waterville in Kennebec County, Maine) comes in at 6.4/10, the Elevated tier. On the national scale it ranks #12,475 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

47% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 19% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $939 monthly, set against $50,055 in average yearly household income, roughly 23% of income at the averages. Renters make up 56% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

5.9

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 26% Stable renters 30% Owners 44%

Tract context

Occupied units1,780

Renter share56.2%

SVI overall0.75

Poverty rate28.3%

Median income$50,055

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Waterville and the region

Centroid at 44.5738, -69.6289 · click any tract to drill in

Why Waterville scores 5.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Waterville

5.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.0

State political climate

Maine legislature & governorship

4.0

Economic stress

28.3% poverty · this tract

7.1

Supply constraint

$939 rent vs county FMR

3.1

Rent control risk

Inherited from Waterville

6.8

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.3

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Waterville

9.4

Housing court bias

Inherited from Waterville

7.7

How Waterville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 75

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

70%Socioeconomic
89%Household composition
20%Racial/ethnic minority
71%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

15.1%Housing insecurity
12.1%Utility-shutoff threat
18.0%Food insecurity
26.9%SNAP enrollment
12.1%Transit barriers
10.2%No health insurance
21.3%Frequent mental distress
40.9%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Waterville

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 9.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Waterville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Kennebec County average of 5.2 and above the Maine statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 75th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 15.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 12.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 23011024101

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 23011024101?

Census tract 23011024101 in Waterville scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 23011024101?

Median gross rent is $939/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 23011024101?

28.3% of residents in tract 23011024101 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,038.

How socially vulnerable is tract 23011024101?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 75th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 70th, household 89th, minority 20th, housing 71th.

What share of households in tract 23011024101 struggle to pay rent?

About 15.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 23011024101 compare to Waterville overall?

Tract 23011024101 scores 5.9/10, higher than the parent city of Waterville at 4.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Waterville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Waterville

Top eight tracts in Waterville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.