Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
Saco Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 23031005301 · York County, ME · pop 3,704
Census tract 23031005301 covers part of Saco, ME, and scores 5.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,704 residents. Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1.4/10.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 32%
Stable renters 35%
Owners 33%
Tract context
Occupied units1,898
Renter share67.1%
SVI overall0.49
Poverty rate17.5%
Median income$62,899
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
86
th percentile
High
Within state
79
th percentile
High
National
70
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Saco and the region
Centroid at 43.4980, -70.4449 · click any tract to drill in
Why Saco scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Saco
6.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.6
State political climate
Maine legislature & governorship
4.0
Economic stress
17.5% poverty · this tract
4.4
Supply constraint
$1,258 rent vs county FMR
1.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Saco
5.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Saco
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Saco
4.9
How Saco compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 49
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 53%Socioeconomic
- 55%Household composition
- 19%Racial/ethnic minority
- 50%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.9%Housing insecurity
- 8.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.8%Food insecurity
- 17.0%SNAP enrollment
- 9.3%Transit barriers
- 9.0%No health insurance
- 19.7%Frequent mental distress
- 32.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Saco
The severe-burden share is 21%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. 67% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. 48% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the York County average of 39.3%.
Against the York County average of 4.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points. On the national scale it lands near the 70th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.4/10.
Statewide the ME average is 4.5, so this tract runs 0.9 points hotter. Average gross rent is $1,258, close to the Saco average. Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $62,899.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 23031005301
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 23031005301?
Census tract 23031005301 in Saco scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 23031005301?
Median gross rent is $1,258/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 23031005301?
17.5% of residents in tract 23031005301 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,704.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 23031005301?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 49th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 53th, household 55th, minority 19th, housing 50th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 23031005301 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 23031005301 compare to Saco overall?
Tract 23031005301 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Saco at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Saco eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Saco
Top eight tracts in Saco ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related