Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #49,882 of 84,120 nationally
Saco Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 23031005301 · York County, ME · pop 3,704
For landlords sizing up Saco, census tract 23031005301 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 5.4/10. It lands near the 53rd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
48% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 21% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,258 a month against an average household income of $62,899 a year, roughly 24% of income at the averages. About 67% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
3.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 32%
Stable renters 35%
Owners 33%
Tract context
Occupied units1,898
Renter share67.1%
SVI overall0.49
Poverty rate17.5%
Median income$62,899
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
75
th percentile
High
Within state
41
th percentile
Moderate
National
41
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Saco and the region
Centroid at 43.4980, -70.4449 · click any tract to drill in
Why Saco scores 3.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Saco
6.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.6
State political climate
Maine legislature & governorship
4.0
Economic stress
17.5% poverty · this tract
4.4
Supply constraint
$1,258 rent vs county FMR
1.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Saco
5.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Saco
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Saco
4.9
How Saco compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 49
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 53%Socioeconomic
- 55%Household composition
- 19%Racial/ethnic minority
- 50%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.9%Housing insecurity
- 8.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.8%Food insecurity
- 17.0%SNAP enrollment
- 9.3%Transit barriers
- 9.0%No health insurance
- 19.7%Frequent mental distress
- 32.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Saco
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 6.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Saco eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the York County average of 4.8 and above the Maine statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 49th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
In CDC survey modeling, about 11.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 8.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 23031005301
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 23031005301?
Census tract 23031005301 in Saco scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 23031005301?
Median gross rent is $1,258/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 23031005301?
17.5% of residents in tract 23031005301 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,704.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 23031005301?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 49th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 53th, household 55th, minority 19th, housing 50th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 23031005301 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 23031005301 compare to Saco overall?
Tract 23031005301 scores 3.5/10, lower than the parent city of Saco at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Saco eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Saco
Top eight tracts in Saco ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related