Neighborhood · Ranked #10,320 of 84,120 nationally

Eastfield Eviction Risk: Elevated , Dundalk

Tract 24005421101 · Baltimore County, MD · pop 3,000 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Census tract 24005421101 covers part of the Eastfield area of Dundalk, MD, and scores 7.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 10/10.

Risk score

7.5

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 28% Stable renters 23% Owners 49%

Tract context

Occupied units1,276

Renter share50.3%

SVI overall0.68

Poverty rate12.8%

Median income$57,976

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Dundalk and the region

Centroid at 39.2551, -76.5162 · click any tract to drill in

Why Eastfield scores 7.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Dundalk

8.9

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.4

State political climate

Maryland legislature & governorship

5.7

Economic stress

12.8% poverty · this tract

3.2

Supply constraint

$1,060 rent vs county FMR

1.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Dundalk

8.4

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.2

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Dundalk

7.6

Housing court bias

Inherited from Dundalk

8.1

How Eastfield compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 68

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

64%Socioeconomic
62%Household composition
46%Racial/ethnic minority
72%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
51%Grade B
1%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Eastfield. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

17.3%Housing insecurity
10.6%Utility-shutoff threat
20.3%Food insecurity
16.6%SNAP enrollment
10.3%Transit barriers
11.1%No health insurance
19.1%Frequent mental distress
30.1%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Eastfield

The severe-burden share is 30%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10.

On the high side, local political climate reads 8.9/10. It sits 1.8 points above the Baltimore County average of 5.7.

At $1,060 a month, rents run 28% under what the rest of Dundalk commands. 55% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Baltimore County average of 46.8%.

This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Baltimore. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. On the national scale it lands near the 88th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.2/10. Statewide the MD average is 5.5, so this tract runs 2.0 points hotter. Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $57,976.

50% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 24005421101

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24005421101?

Census tract 24005421101 in the Eastfield neighborhood scores 7.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 24005421101?

Median gross rent is $1,060/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 24005421101?

12.8% of residents in tract 24005421101 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,000.

How socially vulnerable is tract 24005421101?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 68th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 64th, household 62th, minority 46th, housing 72th.

Is tract 24005421101 considered part of Eastfield?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24005421101 fall within Eastfield (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 24005421101 struggle to pay rent?

About 17.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 24005421101 compare to Dundalk overall?

Tract 24005421101 scores 7.5/10, higher than the parent city of Dundalk at 6.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dundalk eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 24005421101 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Dundalk

Top eight tracts in Dundalk ranked by composite eviction-risk score.