Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #11,930 of 84,120 nationally
Gray Haven Eviction Risk: Elevated , Dundalk
Tract 24005420302 · Baltimore County, MD · pop 2,422 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
Census tract 24005420302 runs through the Gray Haven area of Dundalk. With 2,422 residents, it scores 7.7/10 for landlords. That puts it among the highest-scoring tracts in the entire country, the top 1% nationally for landlord eviction difficulty.
About 49% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 24% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,381 a month against an average household income of $64,271 a year, roughly 26% of income at the averages. Renters make up 41% of occupied homes.
Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20%
Stable renters 21%
Owners 59%
Tract context
Occupied units931
Renter share41.0%
SVI overall0.62
Poverty rate25.4%
Median income$64,271
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
70
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
94
th percentile
Very High
Within state
86
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Dundalk and the region
Centroid at 39.2699, -76.4864 · click any tract to drill in
Why Gray Haven scores 6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Dundalk
8.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.4
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
25.4% poverty · this tract
6.3
Supply constraint
$1,381 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Dundalk
8.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Dundalk
7.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Dundalk
8.1
How Gray Haven compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 62
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 71%Socioeconomic
- 84%Household composition
- 45%Racial/ethnic minority
- 25%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Gray Haven. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 19.1%Housing insecurity
- 12.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 24.2%Food insecurity
- 21.5%SNAP enrollment
- 12.3%Transit barriers
- 12.1%No health insurance
- 21.7%Frequent mental distress
- 32.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Gray Haven
The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 8.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Dundalk eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Baltimore County average of 6.7 and above the Maryland statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 19.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 12.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 62nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 24005420302
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24005420302?
Census tract 24005420302 in the Gray Haven neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24005420302?
Median gross rent is $1,381/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24005420302?
25.4% of residents in tract 24005420302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,422.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24005420302?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 62th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 71th, household 84th, minority 45th, housing 25th.
Q5
Is tract 24005420302 considered part of Gray Haven?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24005420302 fall within Gray Haven (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24005420302 struggle to pay rent?
About 19.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24005420302 compare to Dundalk overall?
Tract 24005420302 scores 6/10, lower than the parent city of Dundalk at 6.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dundalk eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Dundalk
Top eight tracts in Dundalk ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MD
Saint Helena
6.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MD
Defense Heights
6.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MD
Chesterwood
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MD
Manchester
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MD
Saint Helena
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MD
Sparrows Point
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MD
Turner Station
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MD
Eastpoint
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
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