Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #81,634 of 84,120 nationally
Grose Close Eviction Risk: Lower , Bel Air South
Tract 24025303501 · Harford County, MD · pop 7,614 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Census tract 24025303501 covers Grose Close in Bel Air South, home to 7,614 residents. For landlords it grades 6.1/10, an elevated reading. It lands near the 78th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 51% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 39% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,307 monthly, set against $140,530 in average yearly household income, roughly 11% of income at the averages. About 25% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
1.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13%
Stable renters 12%
Owners 75%
Tract context
Occupied units2,854
Renter share24.7%
SVI overall0.27
Poverty rate5.4%
Median income$140,530
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
33
th percentile
Low
Within county
16
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
11
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Bel Air South and the region
Centroid at 39.5103, -76.3436 · click any tract to drill in
Why Grose Close scores 1.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Bel Air South
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.4
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
5.4% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$1,307 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bel Air South
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bel Air South
4.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bel Air South
4.2
How Grose Close compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 27
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 17%Socioeconomic
- 36%Household composition
- 39%Racial/ethnic minority
- 46%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.8%Housing insecurity
- 4.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.0%Food insecurity
- 6.7%SNAP enrollment
- 5.1%Transit barriers
- 6.2%No health insurance
- 14.0%Frequent mental distress
- 25.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Grose Close
What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 5.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bel Air South eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Harford County average of 6.0 and below the Maryland statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 27th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
In CDC survey modeling, about 7.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 24025303501
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24025303501?
Census tract 24025303501 in the Grose Close neighborhood scores 1.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24025303501?
Median gross rent is $1,307/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24025303501?
5.4% of residents in tract 24025303501 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,614.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24025303501?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 27th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 17th, household 36th, minority 39th, housing 46th.
Q5
Is tract 24025303501 considered part of Grose Close?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24025303501 fall within Grose Close (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24025303501 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24025303501 compare to Bel Air South overall?
Tract 24025303501 scores 1.2/10, lower than the parent city of Bel Air South at 5.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bel Air South eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Bel Air South
Top eight tracts in Bel Air South ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MD
Woodsdale Homes
2.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MD
Fountain Green Heights
2.4
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MD
Country Walk
1.9
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · MD
Grafton Heights
1.8
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · MD
Constant Branch
1.7
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · MD
Country Club Park
1.5
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · MD
Pembrook
1.5
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · MD
Box Hill North
1.4
/ 10 · Very Low
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