Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #59,654 of 84,120 nationally
Grose Close Eviction Risk: Lower , Bel Air South
Tract 24025303501 · Harford County, MD · pop 7,614 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Census tract 24025303501 covers part of the Grose Close area of Bel Air South, MD, and scores 3.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 7,614 residents. Severe burden reaches 39%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13%
Stable renters 12%
Owners 75%
Tract context
Occupied units2,854
Renter share24.7%
SVI overall0.27
Poverty rate5.4%
Median income$140,530
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
25
th percentile
Low
Within county
26
th percentile
Low
Within state
13
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Bel Air South and the region
Centroid at 39.5103, -76.3436 · click any tract to drill in
Why Grose Close scores 3.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Bel Air South
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.4
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
5.4% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$1,307 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bel Air South
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bel Air South
4.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bel Air South
4.2
How Grose Close compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 27
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 17%Socioeconomic
- 36%Household composition
- 39%Racial/ethnic minority
- 46%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.8%Housing insecurity
- 4.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.0%Food insecurity
- 6.7%SNAP enrollment
- 5.1%Transit barriers
- 6.2%No health insurance
- 14.0%Frequent mental distress
- 25.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Grose Close
What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.9/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1.4/10.
Against Harford County at 41.1%, 51% of renters here are cost-burdened. At $1,307 a month, rents run 26% under what the rest of Bel Air South commands. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.7/10.
Against the Harford County average of 4.4, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.0 points. Food insecurity runs 9.0% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 6.7% against 15.2% nationally.
That is riskier than roughly 29% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 25% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.4/10.
Against average income of $140,530, annual rent is just 11%. Statewide the MD average is 5.5, so this tract runs 2.1 points cooler.
Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 24025303501
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24025303501?
Census tract 24025303501 in the Grose Close neighborhood scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24025303501?
Median gross rent is $1,307/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24025303501?
5.4% of residents in tract 24025303501 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,614.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24025303501?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 27th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 17th, household 36th, minority 39th, housing 46th.
Q5
Is tract 24025303501 considered part of Grose Close?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24025303501 fall within Grose Close (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24025303501 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24025303501 compare to Bel Air South overall?
Tract 24025303501 scores 3.4/10, lower than the parent city of Bel Air South at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bel Air South eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Bel Air South
Top eight tracts in Bel Air South ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MD
Woodsdale Homes
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MD
Fountain Green Heights
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MD
Country Walk
4.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MD
Grafton Heights
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MD
Constant Branch
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MD
Pembrook
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MD
Country Club Park
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MD
Box Hill North
3.6
/ 10 · Low
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