Neighborhood · Ranked #77,226 of 84,120 nationally

Constant Branch Eviction Risk: Lower , Bel Air South

Tract 24025301205 · Harford County, MD · pop 4,179 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

The Moderate-tier score of 5.4/10 for census tract 24025301205 reflects conditions in the Constant Branch area of Bel Air South, Maryland. It lands near the 53rd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 23% of renter households, a moderate level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,722 a month while the average household earns $102,713 a year, roughly 20% of income at the averages. About 10% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

1.7

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 2% Stable renters 8% Owners 90%

Tract context

Occupied units1,941

Renter share10.1%

SVI overall0.10

Poverty rate3.3%

Median income$102,713

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Bel Air South and the region

Centroid at 39.4725, -76.3168 · click any tract to drill in

Why Constant Branch scores 1.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Bel Air South

5.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.4

State political climate

Maryland legislature & governorship

5.7

Economic stress

3.3% poverty · this tract

1.0

Supply constraint

$1,722 rent vs county FMR

3.8

Rent control risk

Inherited from Bel Air South

5.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Bel Air South

4.1

Housing court bias

Inherited from Bel Air South

4.2

How Constant Branch compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 10

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

8%Socioeconomic
23%Household composition
41%Racial/ethnic minority
18%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

10.8%Housing insecurity
6.8%Utility-shutoff threat
11.1%Food insecurity
8.6%SNAP enrollment
6.4%Transit barriers
6.6%No health insurance
16.9%Frequent mental distress
22.6%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Constant Branch

The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 5.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bel Air South eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Harford County average of 6.0 and below the Maryland statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 10th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

In CDC survey modeling, about 10.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 24025301205

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24025301205?

Census tract 24025301205 in the Constant Branch neighborhood scores 1.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 24025301205?

Median gross rent is $1,722/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 23% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 24025301205?

3.3% of residents in tract 24025301205 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,179.

How socially vulnerable is tract 24025301205?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 10th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 8th, household 23th, minority 41th, housing 18th.

Is tract 24025301205 considered part of Constant Branch?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24025301205 fall within Constant Branch (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 24025301205 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 24025301205 compare to Bel Air South overall?

Tract 24025301205 scores 1.7/10, lower than the parent city of Bel Air South at 5.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bel Air South eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bel Air South

Top eight tracts in Bel Air South ranked by composite eviction-risk score.