Neighborhood · Ranked #76,223 of 84,120 nationally

Grafton Heights Eviction Risk: Lower , Bel Air South

Tract 24025303700 · Harford County, MD · pop 3,896 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Here is how census tract 24025303700, in the Grafton Heights area of Bel Air South eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 6.3/10 eviction-risk score (Elevated tier) across a population of 3,896. That is riskier than about 83% of US census tracts.

About 65% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 49% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $2,037 a month while the average household earns $97,300 a year, roughly 25% of income at the averages. About 15% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

1.8

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 5% Owners 86%

Tract context

Occupied units1,612

Renter share14.6%

SVI overall0.12

Poverty rate3.0%

Median income$97,300

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Bel Air South and the region

Centroid at 39.5367, -76.2524 · click any tract to drill in

Why Grafton Heights scores 1.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Bel Air South

5.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.4

State political climate

Maryland legislature & governorship

5.7

Economic stress

3.0% poverty · this tract

1.0

Supply constraint

$2,037 rent vs county FMR

5.4

Rent control risk

Inherited from Bel Air South

5.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Bel Air South

4.1

Housing court bias

Inherited from Bel Air South

4.2

How Grafton Heights compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 12

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

20%Socioeconomic
44%Household composition
20%Racial/ethnic minority
8%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

7.1%Housing insecurity
4.5%Utility-shutoff threat
7.7%Food insecurity
5.7%SNAP enrollment
4.7%Transit barriers
5.4%No health insurance
14.3%Frequent mental distress
23.8%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Grafton Heights

The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 5.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bel Air South eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Harford County average of 6.0 and in line with the Maryland statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 12th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

In CDC survey modeling, about 7.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 24025303700

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24025303700?

Census tract 24025303700 in the Grafton Heights neighborhood scores 1.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 24025303700?

Median gross rent is $2,037/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 24025303700?

3.0% of residents in tract 24025303700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,896.

How socially vulnerable is tract 24025303700?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 12th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 20th, household 44th, minority 20th, housing 8th.

Is tract 24025303700 considered part of Grafton Heights?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24025303700 fall within Grafton Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 24025303700 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 24025303700 compare to Bel Air South overall?

Tract 24025303700 scores 1.8/10, lower than the parent city of Bel Air South at 5.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bel Air South eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bel Air South

Top eight tracts in Bel Air South ranked by composite eviction-risk score.