Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #28,095 of 84,120 nationally
Woodsdale Homes Eviction Risk: Moderate , Bel Air South
Tract 24025301107 · Harford County, MD · pop 3,649 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
With a score of 5.3/10, tract 24025301107 in the Woodsdale Homes area of Bel Air South, MD reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,649 residents. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.9/10.
Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 31%
Stable renters 38%
Owners 31%
Tract context
Occupied units1,801
Renter share69.4%
SVI overall0.66
Poverty rate10.7%
Median income$82,554
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
78
th percentile
High
Within state
49
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Bel Air South and the region
Centroid at 39.4650, -76.3057 · click any tract to drill in
Why Woodsdale Homes scores 5.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Bel Air South
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.4
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
10.7% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$1,437 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bel Air South
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bel Air South
4.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bel Air South
4.2
How Woodsdale Homes compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 66
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 64%Socioeconomic
- 50%Household composition
- 44%Racial/ethnic minority
- 74%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.9%Housing insecurity
- 8.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.6%Food insecurity
- 12.4%SNAP enrollment
- 8.1%Transit barriers
- 8.0%No health insurance
- 17.6%Frequent mental distress
- 26.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Woodsdale Homes
Severe burden reaches 27%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. 69% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.3/10.
At $1,437 a month, rents run 18% under what the rest of Bel Air South commands. On the softer side, economic stress reads 2.7/10.
Against the Harford County average of 4.4, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.9 points. That is riskier than roughly 67% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Social vulnerability reads 7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. 45% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.
Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $82,554.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 24025301107
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24025301107?
Census tract 24025301107 in the Woodsdale Homes neighborhood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24025301107?
Median gross rent is $1,437/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24025301107?
10.7% of residents in tract 24025301107 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,649.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24025301107?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 66th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 64th, household 50th, minority 44th, housing 74th.
Q5
Is tract 24025301107 considered part of Woodsdale Homes?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24025301107 fall within Woodsdale Homes (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24025301107 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24025301107 compare to Bel Air South overall?
Tract 24025301107 scores 5.3/10, higher than the parent city of Bel Air South at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bel Air South eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Bel Air South
Top eight tracts in Bel Air South ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MD
Fountain Green Heights
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MD
Country Walk
4.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MD
Grafton Heights
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MD
Constant Branch
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MD
Pembrook
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MD
Country Club Park
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MD
Box Hill North
3.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MD
Oaks of Harford
3.4
/ 10 · Low
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