Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Sumner Eviction Risk: Moderate , Bethesda

Tract 24031705702 · Montgomery County, MD · pop 4,602 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

With a score of 5.4/10, tract 24031705702 in the Sumner area of Bethesda, MD reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. 36% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score

5.4

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 5% Stable renters 5% Owners 90%

Tract context

Occupied units1,686

Renter share10.7%

SVI overall0.11

Poverty rate2.4%

Median income$210,917

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Bethesda and the region

Centroid at 38.9542, -77.1109 · click any tract to drill in

Why Sumner scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Bethesda

8.2

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.0

State political climate

Maryland legislature & governorship

5.7

Economic stress

2.4% poverty · this tract

1.0

Supply constraint

$3,501 rent vs county FMR

10.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Bethesda

5.7

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.3

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Bethesda

7.4

Housing court bias

Inherited from Bethesda

4.2

How Sumner compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 11

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

9%Socioeconomic
64%Household composition
41%Racial/ethnic minority
6%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

4.2%Housing insecurity
2.5%Utility-shutoff threat
4.2%Food insecurity
2.4%SNAP enrollment
2.8%Transit barriers
3.9%No health insurance
9.3%Frequent mental distress
19.1%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Sumner

The dominant input is supply constraint at 10/10. The voucher gap is 51.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Average gross rent is $3,501, 42% above the Bethesda average.

Running hot, court filing pressure reads 9.8/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10. Food insecurity runs 4.2% against 17.8% nationally.

Disability prevalence runs 19.1% against 31.5% nationally. 51% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Montgomery County average of 46.7%.

On the national scale it lands near the 70th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 11% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 24031705702

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24031705702?

Census tract 24031705702 in the Sumner neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 24031705702?

Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 24031705702?

2.4% of residents in tract 24031705702 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,602.

How socially vulnerable is tract 24031705702?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 11th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 9th, household 64th, minority 41th, housing 6th.

Is tract 24031705702 considered part of Sumner?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24031705702 fall within Sumner (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 24031705702 struggle to pay rent?

About 4.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 2.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 24031705702 compare to Bethesda overall?

Tract 24031705702 scores 5.4/10, lower than the parent city of Bethesda at 6.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bethesda eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bethesda

Top eight tracts in Bethesda ranked by composite eviction-risk score.