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Neighborhood · Montgomery Village, MD

Quail Valley Eviction Risk: Elevated

4 census tracts · pop 17,819 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.2/10 · range 6–6.6

Quail Valley takes in 4 census tracts of Montgomery Village, MD, population 17,819. Scored across those inputs it reaches 6.2/10, placing it in the Elevated tier. Against a Montgomery Village baseline of 39.4%, 58% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

The severe-burden share is 27%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. Annualized rent equals 35% of average household income here, past the 30% affordability line, which compresses the margin any screening standard has to work with. The main counterweight is supply constraint, at 3/10.

The closest comparables inside the same city are Charlene and Watkins Mill. Social vulnerability runs high at 7.8/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

The 4 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0.6 points apart at the extremes. Average gross rent runs $1,837, close to the Montgomery Village average. 49% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

With little internal variation, 6.2/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
6.2
Elevated
4 tracts · population-weighted
Quail Valley vs Montgomery Village How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
58.1% +47%
Montgomery Village: 39.4%
Average gross rent
$1,837 -4%
Montgomery Village: $1,916
Average HH income
$63,326 -40%
Montgomery Village: $105,158
Poverty rate
14.4% +46%
Montgomery Village: 9.9%
Renter share
49.4% +52%
Montgomery Village: 32.5%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Quail Valley and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 4 tracts span score 6–6.6

Why Quail Valley scores 6.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.2–8.2 across tracts
8.2
Rent control risk
58% of income on rent · Range 4.7–7.3 across tracts
5.9
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.2–5.8 across tracts
5.4
Tenant organizing strength
49% renter households · Range 2.9–9.0 across tracts
4.8
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.5–5.9 across tracts
5.2
Economic stress
14.4% below poverty line · Range 1.4–6.1 across tracts
3.6
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.6–3.2 across tracts
3.0
Risk score comparison

Quail Valley vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Quail Valley score vs. parent city, state, U.S.6.2Quail ValleyNeighborhood4.6Parent cityhost city5.5Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Quail Valley?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 0.6 points from 6 to 6.6. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

4 tracts in Quail Valley

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
24031700726 6.6 3,665 73% $1,889
24031700730 6.4 5,079 38% $1,850
24031700713 6 5,560 66% $1,844
24031700721 6 3,515 60% $1,755
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 76

Pop-weighted across 4 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 82%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 47%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 85%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 64%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Quail Valley

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Quail Valley

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Quail Valley?

Quail Valley scores 6.2/10 (Elevated tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Quail Valley compare to Montgomery Village overall?

Quail Valley scores 1.6 points higher than Montgomery Village overall (4.6/10). Renters spend 58% of income on rent vs 39% citywide. Average rent: $1,837 vs $1,916.
Q3

What is the average rent in Quail Valley?

Average gross rent in Quail Valley is $1,837/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Quail Valley residents are renters?

49% of Quail Valley households are renter-occupied (vs 33% in Montgomery Village). The neighborhood has 17,819 residents.
Q5

Is Quail Valley a high social-vulnerability area?

Quail Valley sits in the 76th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Quail Valley have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Quail Valley is census tract 24031700726 (score 6.6/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 6 to 6.6, a spread of 0.6 points.
Q7

How safe is Quail Valley for landlords?

Quail Valley carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.2/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Montgomery Village as a whole (4.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Quail Valley?

Quail Valley has 17,177 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (40.5%), White (non-Hispanic) (19.8%), Black (non-Hispanic) (17.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Quail Valley

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Montgomery Village

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Quail Valley.

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