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Neighborhood · Bethesda, MD

Downtown Bethesda Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 4,669 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 1.8/10 · range 1.7–1.8

Downtown Bethesda is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Bethesda with 2 census tracts and a population of 4,669 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 1.8/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 45% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 16% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $2,632/month sits 7% higher than the Bethesda citywide average ($2,469).

Risk score
1.8
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
Downtown Bethesda vs Bethesda How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
45.2% +57%
Bethesda: 28.7%
Average gross rent
$2,632 +7%
Bethesda: $2,469
Average HH income
$133,295 -30%
Bethesda: $191,348
Poverty rate
7.3% +83%
Bethesda: 4.0%
Renter share
71.7% +99%
Bethesda: 36.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Downtown Bethesda and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 1.7–1.8

Why Downtown Bethesda scores 1.8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.2–8.2 across tracts
8.2
Rent control risk
45% of income on rent · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.3–5.3 across tracts
5.3
Tenant organizing strength
72% renter households · Range 7.4–7.4 across tracts
7.4
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.2–4.2 across tracts
4.2
Economic stress
7.3% below poverty line · Range 1.6–2.0 across tracts
1.8
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.6–7.0 across tracts
6.4
Risk score comparison

Downtown Bethesda vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Downtown Bethesda score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Downtown Bethesda: 1.81.8Downtown BethesdaNeighborhoodParent city: 6.06.0Parent cityhost cityState: 6.26.2Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Downtown Bethesda

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
24031704805 1.8 2,620 45% $2,769
24031704804 1.7 2,049 46% $2,457
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 30

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 14%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 20%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 50%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 68%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Downtown Bethesda

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Downtown Bethesda

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Downtown Bethesda?

Downtown Bethesda scores 1.8/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Downtown Bethesda compare to Bethesda overall?

Downtown Bethesda scores 4.2 points lower than Bethesda overall (6/10). Renters spend 45% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $2,632 vs $2,469.
Q3

What is the average rent in Downtown Bethesda?

Average gross rent in Downtown Bethesda eviction risk is $2,632/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Downtown Bethesda residents are renters?

72% of Downtown Bethesda households are renter-occupied (vs 36% in Bethesda). The neighborhood has 4,669 residents.
Q5

Is Downtown Bethesda a high social-vulnerability area?

Downtown Bethesda sits in the 30th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Downtown Bethesda have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Downtown Bethesda is census tract 24031704805 (score 1.8/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 1.7 to 1.8, a spread of 0.1 points.
Q7

How safe is Downtown Bethesda for landlords?

Downtown Bethesda eviction risk carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (1.8/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Bethesda as a whole (6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Downtown Bethesda?

Downtown Bethesda has 4,831 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (65.9%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (16.2%), Black (non-Hispanic) (6.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Downtown Bethesda

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Bethesda

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Downtown Bethesda.

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