Neighborhood · Ranked #19,618 of 84,120 nationally

Arlington-Basswood Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lawrence

Tract 25009252502 · Essex County, MA · pop 4,837 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

25009252502 is a census tract in the Arlington-Basswood Historic District area of Essex County, MA. It scores 5.9/10 for landlords. Severe burden reaches 38%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score

5.9

Moderate

Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 7% Stable renters 8% Owners 85%

Tract context

Occupied units1,639

Renter share14.8%

SVI overall0.87

Poverty rate10.4%

Median income$96,706

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lawrence and the region

Centroid at 42.7355, -71.1654 · click any tract to drill in

Why Arlington-Basswood Historic District scores 5.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Lawrence

6.2

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.5

State political climate

Massachusetts legislature & governorship

6.2

Economic stress

10.4% poverty · this tract

2.6

Supply constraint

$1,795 rent vs county FMR

4.1

Rent control risk

Inherited from Lawrence

6.2

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Lawrence

4.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Lawrence

5.0

How Arlington-Basswood Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 87

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

66%Socioeconomic
93%Household composition
59%Racial/ethnic minority
91%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Arlington-Basswood Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

13.3%Housing insecurity
8.8%Utility-shutoff threat
16.2%Food insecurity
18.3%SNAP enrollment
9.0%Transit barriers
6.8%No health insurance
16.5%Frequent mental distress
31.7%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Arlington-Basswood Historic District

The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 7.6/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 2.6/10.

46% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, below the Essex County average of 50.7%. Nationally it ranks #19,618 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Only 15% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Essex County average of 6.0 closely.

Average gross rent runs $1,795 a month. Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $96,706.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 25009252502

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25009252502?

Census tract 25009252502 in the Arlington-Basswood Historic District neighborhood scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 25009252502?

Median gross rent is $1,795/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 25009252502?

10.4% of residents in tract 25009252502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,837.

How socially vulnerable is tract 25009252502?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 87th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 66th, household 93th, minority 59th, housing 91th.

Is tract 25009252502 considered part of Arlington-Basswood Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25009252502 fall within Arlington-Basswood Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 25009252502 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 25009252502 compare to Lawrence overall?

Tract 25009252502 scores 5.9/10, lower than the parent city of Lawrence at 7.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lawrence eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lawrence

Top eight tracts in Lawrence ranked by composite eviction-risk score.