Neighborhood · Ranked #12,481 of 84,120 nationally

Arlington-Basswood Historic District Eviction Risk: Elevated , Lawrence

Tract 25009252300 · Essex County, MA · pop 8,133 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

Tract 25009252300 sits in the Arlington-Basswood Historic District area of Essex County, MA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 7.1/10. Population here is 8,133. The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1/10.

Risk score

7.1

Elevated

Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 25% Stable renters 23% Owners 52%

Tract context

Occupied units2,991

Renter share47.9%

SVI overall0.91

Poverty rate13.3%

Median income$62,569

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lawrence and the region

Centroid at 42.7275, -71.1946 · click any tract to drill in

Why Arlington-Basswood Historic District scores 7.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Lawrence

6.2

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.5

State political climate

Massachusetts legislature & governorship

6.2

Economic stress

13.3% poverty · this tract

3.3

Supply constraint

$606 rent vs county FMR

1.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Lawrence

6.2

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Lawrence

4.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Lawrence

5.0

How Arlington-Basswood Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 91

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

81%Socioeconomic
94%Household composition
73%Racial/ethnic minority
84%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Arlington-Basswood Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

17.8%Housing insecurity
11.0%Utility-shutoff threat
22.0%Food insecurity
23.6%SNAP enrollment
11.3%Transit barriers
10.8%No health insurance
17.2%Frequent mental distress
33.9%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Arlington-Basswood Historic District

The severe-burden share is 22%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 7.6/10. Against the Essex County average of 6.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points.

SNAP participation runs 23.6% against 15.2% nationally. That is riskier than roughly 85% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Against average income of $62,569, annual rent is just 12%. Statewide the MA average is 6.2, so this tract runs 0.9 points hotter.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 52% of renters.

Average gross rent runs $606 a month. 48% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 25009252300

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25009252300?

Census tract 25009252300 in the Arlington-Basswood Historic District neighborhood scores 7.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 25009252300?

Median gross rent is $606/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 25009252300?

13.3% of residents in tract 25009252300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 8,133.

How socially vulnerable is tract 25009252300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 94th, minority 73th, housing 84th.

Is tract 25009252300 considered part of Arlington-Basswood Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25009252300 fall within Arlington-Basswood Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 25009252300 struggle to pay rent?

About 17.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 25009252300 compare to Lawrence overall?

Tract 25009252300 scores 7.1/10, lower than the parent city of Lawrence at 7.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lawrence eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lawrence

Top eight tracts in Lawrence ranked by composite eviction-risk score.