Neighborhood · Ranked #12,481 of 84,120 nationally

Arlington-Basswood Historic District Eviction Risk: Elevated , Lawrence

Tract 25009252400 · Essex County, MA · pop 4,407 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

With a score of 7.1/10, tract 25009252400 in the Arlington-Basswood Historic District area of Essex County, MA reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,407 residents. Severe burden reaches 35%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score

7.1

Elevated

Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 31% Stable renters 29% Owners 40%

Tract context

Occupied units1,480

Renter share60.8%

SVI overall0.85

Poverty rate18.7%

Median income$79,286

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lawrence and the region

Centroid at 42.7224, -71.1787 · click any tract to drill in

Why Arlington-Basswood Historic District scores 7.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Lawrence

6.2

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.5

State political climate

Massachusetts legislature & governorship

6.2

Economic stress

18.7% poverty · this tract

4.7

Supply constraint

$1,678 rent vs county FMR

3.5

Rent control risk

Inherited from Lawrence

6.2

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Lawrence

4.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Lawrence

5.0

How Arlington-Basswood Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 85

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

88%Socioeconomic
77%Household composition
77%Racial/ethnic minority
66%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Arlington-Basswood Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

22.8%Housing insecurity
12.9%Utility-shutoff threat
26.6%Food insecurity
25.2%SNAP enrollment
13.2%Transit barriers
14.5%No health insurance
17.4%Frequent mental distress
31.9%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Arlington-Basswood Historic District

The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 7.6/10. Against the Essex County average of 6.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points. SNAP participation runs 25.2% against 15.2% nationally.

The poverty rate is 19%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Food insecurity runs 26.6% against 17.8% nationally. Nationally it ranks #12,481 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the MA average is 6.2, so this tract runs 0.9 points hotter.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. 52% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.

Average gross rent runs $1,678 a month.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 25009252400

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25009252400?

Census tract 25009252400 in the Arlington-Basswood Historic District neighborhood scores 7.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 25009252400?

Median gross rent is $1,678/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 25009252400?

18.7% of residents in tract 25009252400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,407.

How socially vulnerable is tract 25009252400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 85th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 88th, household 77th, minority 77th, housing 66th.

Is tract 25009252400 considered part of Arlington-Basswood Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25009252400 fall within Arlington-Basswood Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 25009252400 struggle to pay rent?

About 22.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 25009252400 compare to Lawrence overall?

Tract 25009252400 scores 7.1/10, lower than the parent city of Lawrence at 7.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lawrence eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lawrence

Top eight tracts in Lawrence ranked by composite eviction-risk score.