Neighborhood · Ranked #46,312 of 84,120 nationally

Arlington-Basswood Historic District Eviction Risk: Lower , Lawrence

Tract 25009252400 · Essex County, MA · pop 4,407 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

How risky is the Arlington-Basswood Historic District neighborhood of Lawrence for landlords? Census tract 25009252400 scores 6.5/10, the Elevated tier. That is riskier than about 87% of US census tracts.

About 52% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 35% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,678 a month against an average household income of $79,286 a year, roughly 25% of income at the averages. About 61% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

3.7

Lower

Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 31% Stable renters 29% Owners 40%

Tract context

Occupied units1,480

Renter share60.8%

SVI overall0.85

Poverty rate18.7%

Median income$79,286

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lawrence and the region

Centroid at 42.7224, -71.1787 · click any tract to drill in

Why Arlington-Basswood Historic District scores 3.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Lawrence

6.2

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.5

State political climate

Massachusetts legislature & governorship

6.2

Economic stress

18.7% poverty · this tract

4.7

Supply constraint

$1,678 rent vs county FMR

3.5

Rent control risk

Inherited from Lawrence

6.2

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Lawrence

4.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Lawrence

5.0

How Arlington-Basswood Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 85

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

88%Socioeconomic
77%Household composition
77%Racial/ethnic minority
66%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Arlington-Basswood Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

22.8%Housing insecurity
12.9%Utility-shutoff threat
26.6%Food insecurity
25.2%SNAP enrollment
13.2%Transit barriers
14.5%No health insurance
17.4%Frequent mental distress
31.9%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Arlington-Basswood Historic District

What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 6.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lawrence eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Essex County average of 6.5 and above the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 22.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 12.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 85th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 25009252400

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25009252400?

Census tract 25009252400 in the Arlington-Basswood Historic District neighborhood scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 25009252400?

Median gross rent is $1,678/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 25009252400?

18.7% of residents in tract 25009252400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,407.

How socially vulnerable is tract 25009252400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 85th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 88th, household 77th, minority 77th, housing 66th.

Is tract 25009252400 considered part of Arlington-Basswood Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25009252400 fall within Arlington-Basswood Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 25009252400 struggle to pay rent?

About 22.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 25009252400 compare to Lawrence overall?

Tract 25009252400 scores 3.7/10, lower than the parent city of Lawrence at 6.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lawrence eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lawrence

Top eight tracts in Lawrence ranked by composite eviction-risk score.