Neighborhood · Ranked #5,153 of 84,120 nationally

Arlington-Basswood Historic District Eviction Risk: High , Lawrence

Tract 25009250600 · Essex County, MA · pop 5,933 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

With a score of 8.6/10, tract 25009250600 in the Arlington-Basswood Historic District area of Lawrence, MA reads high for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 5,933. Severe burden reaches 35%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score

8.6

High

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 32% Stable renters 20% Owners 48%

Tract context

Occupied units2,072

Renter share52.6%

SVI overall0.90

Poverty rate7.1%

Median income$54,925

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lawrence and the region

Centroid at 42.7201, -71.1626 · click any tract to drill in

Why Arlington-Basswood Historic District scores 8.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Lawrence

6.8

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.5

State political climate

Massachusetts legislature & governorship

6.2

Economic stress

7.1% poverty · this tract

1.8

Supply constraint

$1,690 rent vs county FMR

3.6

Rent control risk

Inherited from Lawrence

8.2

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.2

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Lawrence

9.8

Housing court bias

Inherited from Lawrence

7.9

How Arlington-Basswood Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 90

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

88%Socioeconomic
86%Household composition
90%Racial/ethnic minority
71%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Arlington-Basswood Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

27.6%Housing insecurity
15.5%Utility-shutoff threat
34.0%Food insecurity
32.5%SNAP enrollment
16.4%Transit barriers
20.0%No health insurance
17.7%Frequent mental distress
36.4%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Arlington-Basswood Historic District

The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.8/10. Against the Essex County average of 6.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.6 points.

Annualized rent equals 37% of average household income of $54,925, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Cost burden runs 62% here against 50.7% across Essex County.

Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.8/10. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.2/10. Housing insecurity runs 27.6% against 14.2% nationally.

Adults with no health insurance runs 20.0% against 11.3% nationally. On the national scale it lands near the 94th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the MA average is 6.2, so this tract runs 2.4 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 25009250600

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25009250600?

Census tract 25009250600 in the Arlington-Basswood Historic District neighborhood scores 8.6/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 25009250600?

Median gross rent is $1,690/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 25009250600?

7.1% of residents in tract 25009250600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,933.

How socially vulnerable is tract 25009250600?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 90th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 88th, household 86th, minority 90th, housing 71th.

Is tract 25009250600 considered part of Arlington-Basswood Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25009250600 fall within Arlington-Basswood Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 25009250600 struggle to pay rent?

About 27.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 25009250600 compare to Lawrence overall?

Tract 25009250600 scores 8.6/10, higher than the parent city of Lawrence at 7.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lawrence eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lawrence

Top eight tracts in Lawrence ranked by composite eviction-risk score.