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Neighborhood · Lawrence, MA

Arlington-Basswood Historic District Eviction Risk: Elevated

8 census tracts · pop 39,797 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.6/10 · range 5.9–9

Arlington-Basswood Historic District is a 8-tract neighborhood of Lawrence, MA, population 39,797. Scored across those inputs it reaches 7.6/10, placing it in the Elevated tier. Against a Lawrence baseline of 34.9%, 57% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

33% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. The 8 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 5.9 to 9, a 3.1-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address. SNAP participation is 29.9% of households versus 15.2% nationally.

CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 24.0% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 7.1/10. Average gross rent is $1,510, 9% below the Lawrence average of $1,662.

Among the 4 mapped neighborhoods of Lawrence, it ranks #4 by risk, the lower third. Social vulnerability runs high at 8.9/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $69,951.

54% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 7.6 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
7.6
Elevated
8 tracts · population-weighted
Arlington-Basswood Historic District vs Lawrence How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
56.7% +62%
Lawrence: 34.9%
Average gross rent
$1,510 -9%
Lawrence: $1,662
Average HH income
$69,951 +21%
Lawrence: $57,903
Poverty rate
14.3% -21%
Lawrence: 18.2%
Renter share
53.8% -25%
Lawrence: 71.9%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Arlington-Basswood Historic District and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 8 tracts span score 5.9–9

Why Arlington-Basswood Historic District scores 7.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts
6.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.2–6.8 across tracts
6.5
Rent control risk
57% of income on rent · Range 6.2–8.2 across tracts
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.0–6.2 across tracts
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
54% renter households · Range 4.0–9.8 across tracts
6.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.0–7.9 across tracts
6.2
Economic stress
14.3% below poverty line · Range 1.8–6.6 across tracts
3.6
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–5.9 across tracts
3.3
Risk score comparison

Arlington-Basswood Historic District vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Arlington-Basswood Historic District score vs. parent city, state, U.S.7.6Arlington-BasswoodNeighborhood7.6Parent cityhost city6.4Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Arlington-Basswood Historic District?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 3.1 points from 5.9 to 9. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

8 tracts in Arlington-Basswood Historic District

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
25009250500 9 4,392 59% $1,639
25009250400 9 4,282 62% $1,526
25009250300 9 2,504 65% $1,570
25009250600 8.6 5,933 62% $1,690
25009252300 7.1 8,133 52% $606
25009252400 7.1 4,407 52% $1,678
25009252501 6 5,309 62% $2,148
25009252502 5.9 4,837 46% $1,795
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 87

Pop-weighted across 8 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 81%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 88%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 79%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 73%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Arlington-Basswood Historic District

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Arlington-Basswood Historic District

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Arlington-Basswood Historic District?

Arlington-Basswood Historic District scores 7.6/10 (Elevated tier) across 8 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Arlington-Basswood Historic District compare to Lawrence overall?

Arlington-Basswood Historic District scores 0.0 points higher than Lawrence overall (7.6/10). Renters spend 57% of income on rent vs 35% citywide. Average rent: $1,510 vs $1,662.
Q3

What is the average rent in Arlington-Basswood Historic District?

Average gross rent in Arlington eviction risk-Basswood Historic District is $1,510/month (pop-weighted across 8 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Arlington-Basswood Historic District residents are renters?

54% of Arlington-Basswood Historic District households are renter-occupied (vs 72% in Lawrence). The neighborhood has 39,797 residents.
Q5

Is Arlington-Basswood Historic District a high social-vulnerability area?

Arlington-Basswood Historic District sits in the 87th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Arlington-Basswood Historic District have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Arlington-Basswood Historic District is census tract 25009250500 (score 9/10). Across the 8 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.9 to 9, a spread of 3.1 points.
Q7

How safe is Arlington-Basswood Historic District for landlords?

Arlington eviction risk-Basswood Historic District carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.6/10). Pop-weighted across 8 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Lawrence as a whole (7.6/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Arlington-Basswood Historic District?

Arlington-Basswood Historic District has 40,158 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (66.8%), White (non-Hispanic) (27.2%), Black (non-Hispanic) (2.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Arlington-Basswood Historic District

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Lawrence

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Arlington-Basswood Historic District.

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