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Neighborhood · Ranked #7,836 of 84,120 nationally

Oakdale Eviction Risk: High , Holyoke

Tract 25013811800 · Hampden County, MA · pop 3,961 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Census tract 25013811800 covers part of the Oakdale area of Holyoke, MA, and scores 8/10 on landlord eviction risk. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.6/10.

Risk score
8
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 37% Stable renters 32% Owners 31%
Tract context
Occupied units1,672
Renter share69.0%
SVI overall0.83
Poverty rate21.8%
Median income$52,816

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Oakdale
Very High
Within parent city
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 11 tracts In Holyoke
Elevated
Within county
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#8 of 104 tracts In Hampden County
Very High
Within state
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#213 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Holyoke and the region

Centroid at 42.2124, -72.6207 · click any tract to drill in

Why Oakdale scores 8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Holyoke
6.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
21.8% poverty · this tract
5.4
Supply constraint
$1,053 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Holyoke
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Holyoke
9.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Holyoke
7.4

How Oakdale compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Oakdale risk score vs. parent city / county / state8.0This tracttract 8118006.6Holyokeparent city5.8Countyavg tract in county6.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 83

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Oakdale. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Oakdale

Severe burden reaches 27%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. It sits 2.2 points above the Hampden County average of 5.8.

SNAP participation runs 33.1% against 15.2% nationally. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.5/10.

69% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Running cool, supply constraint reads 2/10. 53% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Hampden County average of 46.5%.

The poverty rate is 22%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Housing insecurity runs 24.4% against 14.2% nationally.

This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Holyoke Chicopee. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 91% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.5/10.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 25013811800

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25013811800?

Census tract 25013811800 in the Oakdale neighborhood scores 8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25013811800?

Median gross rent is $1,053/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25013811800?

21.8% of residents in tract 25013811800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,961.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25013811800?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 69th, household 88th, minority 78th, housing 79th.
Q5

Is tract 25013811800 considered part of Oakdale?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25013811800 fall within Oakdale (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 25013811800 struggle to pay rent?

About 24.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 25013811800 compare to Holyoke overall?

Tract 25013811800 scores 8/10, higher than the parent city of Holyoke at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Holyoke eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 25013811800 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 4% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Holyoke

Top eight tracts in Holyoke ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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