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Neighborhood · Northampton, MA

Florence Eviction Risk: Elevated

1 census tracts · pop 3,526 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.5/10 · range 7.5–7.5

Florence is a one-tract suburb of Northampton, MA and houses 3,526 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 7.5/10, placing it in the Elevated tier. 59% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, dramatically above the Northampton rate of 32.9%.

The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 8.4/10. At $1,019 a month, rents sit 29% under what the rest of Northampton commands. The severe-burden share is 22%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.

Running cool is supply constraint, at 1.8/10. The filing record is not thin: 629 evictions logged in this tract. On the high side is rent-regulation exposure at 7.2/10.

4.1% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt. The worst year on record was 2012, when filings touched 12.4% of renter households.

Food insecurity affects 9.7% of adults, 8.1 points below the national rate. The most recent observed rate, 6.4% in 2016, is well off that peak. Among the 5 mapped neighborhoods of Northampton, it ranks #2 by risk, the middle third.

Against average income of $61,538, annual rent is only 20%, a wide affordability cushion.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 7.5/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
7.5
Elevated
1 tracts · population-weighted
Florence vs Northampton How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
59.0% +79%
Northampton: 32.9%
Average gross rent
$1,019 -29%
Northampton: $1,439
Average HH income
$61,538 -22%
Northampton: $78,467
Poverty rate
14.4% +15%
Northampton: 12.5%
Renter share
40.6% -5%
Northampton: 42.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Florence and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 7.5–7.5

Why Florence scores 7.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts
6.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts
7.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.6–7.6 across tracts
7.6
Rent control risk
59% of income on rent · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts
7.2
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
41% renter households · Range 8.4–8.4 across tracts
8.4
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.6–6.6 across tracts
6.6
Economic stress
14.4% below poverty line · Range 3.6–3.6 across tracts
3.6
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.8–1.8 across tracts
1.8
Risk score comparison

Florence vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Florence score vs. parent city, state, U.S.7.5FlorenceNeighborhood6.4Parent cityhost city6.4Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Florence

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
25015821602 7.5 3,526 59% $1,019
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 42

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 38%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 52%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 25%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 50%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Florence

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 629Total filings (sum)
  • 7.34%Avg annual filing rate
  • 12.4%Peak year (2012)
  • 6.35%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Florence

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Florence

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Florence?

Florence scores 7.5/10 (Elevated tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Florence compare to Northampton overall?

Florence scores 1.1 points higher than Northampton overall (6.4/10). Renters spend 59% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $1,019 vs $1,439.
Q3

What is the average rent in Florence?

Average gross rent in Florence is $1,019/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Florence residents are renters?

41% of Florence households are renter-occupied (vs 43% in Northampton). The neighborhood has 3,526 residents.
Q5

Is Florence a high social-vulnerability area?

Florence sits in the 42nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Florence for landlords?

Florence carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.5/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Northampton as a whole (6.4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Florence?

Florence has 3,570 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (85%), Hispanic / Latino (6.9%), Other / Multiracial (5.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Florence

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Northampton

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Florence.

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