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Neighborhood · Northampton, MA

Northampton Downtown Historic District Eviction Risk: Elevated

3 census tracts · pop 8,441 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.4/10 · range 6.3–6.4

Northampton Downtown Historic District is a 3-tract neighborhood of Northampton, MA and houses 8,441 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 6.4/10, in the Elevated tier. Cost burden runs 59% against 32.9% citywide, putting Northampton Downtown Historic District 25.9% over its own city.

Severe burden reaches 24%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. What pushes the score up most is tenant-organizing strength at 8.4/10.

Running cool is economic stress, at 2.5/10. Court records carry 221 eviction filings across its 3 observed tracts. 3.3% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt.

Running hot is rent-regulation exposure at 7.2/10. Filing activity peaked in 2012 at 3.8% of renter households. Food insecurity affects 9.2% of adults, 8.6 points below the national rate.

The most recent observed rate, 1.7% in 2016, is well off that peak. At $1,554 a month, rents sit 8% over what the rest of Northampton commands.

Among the 5 mapped neighborhoods of Northampton, it ranks #4 by risk, the lower third. Its 3 tracts score within 0.1 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses.

With little internal variation, 6.4/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
6.4
Elevated
3 tracts · population-weighted
Northampton Downtown Historic District vs Northampton How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
58.8% +79%
Northampton: 32.9%
Average gross rent
$1,554 +8%
Northampton: $1,439
Average HH income
$86,919 +11%
Northampton: $78,467
Poverty rate
10.1% -19%
Northampton: 12.5%
Renter share
55.2% +29%
Northampton: 42.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Northampton Downtown Historic District and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 6.3–6.4

Why Northampton Downtown Historic District scores 6.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts
6.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts
7.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.6–7.6 across tracts
7.6
Rent control risk
59% of income on rent · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts
7.2
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
55% renter households · Range 8.4–8.4 across tracts
8.4
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.6–6.6 across tracts
6.6
Economic stress
10.1% below poverty line · Range 2.2–2.8 across tracts
2.5
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.1–5.6 across tracts
5.4
Risk score comparison

Northampton Downtown Historic District vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Northampton Downtown Historic District score vs. parent city, state, U.S.6.4Northampton DowntoNeighborhood6.4Parent cityhost city6.4Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Northampton Downtown Historic District?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 0.1 points from 6.3 to 6.4. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in Northampton Downtown Historic District

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
25015821901 6.4 3,205 57% $1,554
25015821904 6.4 3,081 57% $1,580
25015822000 6.3 2,155 63% $1,516
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 30

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 34%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 15%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 32%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 60%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Northampton Downtown Historic District

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 221Total filings (sum)
  • 1.48%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.8%Peak year (2012)
  • 1.52%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Northampton Downtown Historic District

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Northampton Downtown Historic District

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Northampton Downtown Historic District?

Northampton Downtown Historic District scores 6.4/10 (Elevated tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Northampton Downtown Historic District compare to Northampton overall?

Northampton Downtown Historic District scores 0.0 points higher than Northampton overall (6.4/10). Renters spend 59% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $1,554 vs $1,439.
Q3

What is the average rent in Northampton Downtown Historic District?

Average gross rent in Northampton eviction risk Downtown Historic District is $1,554/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Northampton Downtown Historic District residents are renters?

55% of Northampton Downtown Historic District households are renter-occupied (vs 43% in Northampton). The neighborhood has 8,441 residents.
Q5

Is Northampton Downtown Historic District a high social-vulnerability area?

Northampton Downtown Historic District sits in the 30th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Northampton Downtown Historic District have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Northampton Downtown Historic District is census tract 25015821901 (score 6.4/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 6.3 to 6.4, a spread of 0.1 points.
Q7

How safe is Northampton Downtown Historic District for landlords?

Northampton eviction risk Downtown Historic District carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.4/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Northampton as a whole (6.4/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Northampton Downtown Historic District?

Northampton Downtown Historic District has 8,454 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (76.4%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (8.5%), Other / Multiracial (6.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Northampton Downtown Historic District

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Northampton

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Northampton Downtown Historic District.

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