Neighborhood · Ranked #10,320 of 84,120 nationally

Florence Eviction Risk: Elevated , Northampton

Tract 25015821602 · Hampshire County, MA · pop 3,526 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Tract 25015821602 sits in the Florence area of Northampton eviction risk, MA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 7.5/10. It is home to 3,526 residents. The main counterweight is court filing pressure at 0.6/10.

Risk score

7.5

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 24% Stable renters 17% Owners 59%

Tract context

Occupied units1,854

Renter share40.6%

SVI overall0.42

Poverty rate14.4%

Median income$61,538

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Northampton and the region

Centroid at 42.3317, -72.6617 · click any tract to drill in

Why Florence scores 7.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Northampton

7.6

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

7.3

State political climate

Massachusetts legislature & governorship

6.2

Economic stress

14.4% poverty · this tract

3.6

Supply constraint

$1,019 rent vs county FMR

1.8

Rent control risk

Inherited from Northampton

7.2

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.1

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Northampton

8.4

Housing court bias

Inherited from Northampton

6.6

How Florence compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 42

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

38%Socioeconomic
52%Household composition
25%Racial/ethnic minority
50%Housing & transportation

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.¹

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

629Total filings over 12 yrs
7.34%Avg annual filing rate
12.4%Peak (2012)
44Filings in 2016 (latest validated)

Filings by year 2005 to 2016

Filings climbed 300% over the past 12 months.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

8.7%Housing insecurity
6.2%Utility-shutoff threat
9.7%Food insecurity
12.0%SNAP enrollment
6.5%Transit barriers
4.1%No health insurance
14.9%Frequent mental distress
26.9%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Florence

Against Hampshire County at 46.3%, 59% of renters here are cost-burdened. Severe burden reaches 22%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

It sits 1.9 points above the Hampshire County average of 5.6. At $1,019 a month, rents run 29% under what the rest of Northampton commands.

Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.4/10. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.8/10. Court records carry 629 eviction filings across 12 observed years.

Food insecurity runs 9.7% against 17.8% nationally. Adults with no health insurance runs 4.1% against 11.3% nationally. Filings peaked in 2012 at 12.4% of renter households.

In a typical year about 7.3% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 88th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 25015821602

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25015821602?

Census tract 25015821602 in the Florence neighborhood scores 7.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 25015821602?

Median gross rent is $1,019/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 25015821602?

14.4% of residents in tract 25015821602 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,526.

How socially vulnerable is tract 25015821602?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 42th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 38th, household 52th, minority 25th, housing 50th.

Is tract 25015821602 considered part of Florence?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25015821602 fall within Florence (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25015821602?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 629 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 25015821602 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.34% of renter households, peaking at 12.4% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

What share of households in tract 25015821602 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 25015821602 compare to Northampton overall?

Tract 25015821602 scores 7.5/10, higher than the parent city of Northampton at 6.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Northampton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Northampton

Top eight tracts in Northampton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Eviction Lab tract-level court records (2000-2018) and Eviction Tracking System, Princeton University. Open Data Commons Attribution license. evictionlab.org