Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #26,446 of 84,120 nationally
Florence Eviction Risk: Moderate , Northampton
Tract 25015821602 · Hampshire County, MA · pop 3,526 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
How risky is the Florence neighborhood of Northampton for landlords? Census tract 25015821602 scores 5.5/10, the Moderate tier. It lands near the 57th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 59% of renter households, a severe level, and 22% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,019 a month against an average household income of $61,538 a year, roughly 20% of income at the averages. Renters make up 41% of occupied homes.
Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24%
Stable renters 17%
Owners 59%
Tract context
Occupied units1,854
Renter share40.6%
SVI overall0.42
Poverty rate14.4%
Median income$61,538
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
86
th percentile
High
Within county
82
th percentile
High
Within state
77
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Northampton and the region
Centroid at 42.3317, -72.6617 · click any tract to drill in
Why Florence scores 4.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Northampton
7.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
14.4% poverty · this tract
3.6
Supply constraint
$1,019 rent vs county FMR
1.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Northampton
7.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Northampton
8.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Northampton
6.6
How Florence compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 42
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 38%Socioeconomic
- 52%Household composition
- 25%Racial/ethnic minority
- 50%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 629Total filings over 12 yrs
- 7.34%Avg annual filing rate
- 12.4%Peak (2012)
- 44Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 300% over the past 12 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.7%Housing insecurity
- 6.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.7%Food insecurity
- 12.0%SNAP enrollment
- 6.5%Transit barriers
- 4.1%No health insurance
- 14.9%Frequent mental distress
- 26.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Florence
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 8.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Northampton eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Hampshire County average of 4.9 and below the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 629 eviction filings here over 12 tracked years, with about 7.3% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 12.4% of renter households in 2012.
In CDC survey modeling, about 8.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 25015821602
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25015821602?
Census tract 25015821602 in the Florence neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25015821602?
Median gross rent is $1,019/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25015821602?
14.4% of residents in tract 25015821602 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,526.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25015821602?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 42th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 38th, household 52th, minority 25th, housing 50th.
Q5
Is tract 25015821602 considered part of Florence?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25015821602 fall within Florence (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25015821602?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 629 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 25015821602 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.34% of renter households, peaking at 12.4% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 25015821602 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 25015821602 compare to Northampton overall?
Tract 25015821602 scores 4.9/10, lower than the parent city of Northampton at 6.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Northampton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Northampton
Top eight tracts in Northampton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MA
Fort Hill Historic District
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MA
Pathways Cohousing
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MA
25015821601
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MA
Northampton Downtown Historic District
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MA
Northampton Downtown Historic District
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MA
Northampton Downtown Historic District
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MA
Leeds
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Related
Explore the geography around tract 25015821602
Parent city ↑
Northampton
6.1 / 10
Parent county ↑
Hampshire County
Parent state ↑
Massachusetts
Sibling tract →
Fort Hill Historic District
5.4 / 10
Sibling tract →
Pathways Cohousing
4.2 / 10
Sibling tract →
Tract 25015821601
4.2 / 10
Methodology
How the score is built
Interactive map
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