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Burlington, Massachusetts eviction risk overview
Ranked #862 of 1,865 nationally

Burlington, MA Eviction Risk: MODERATE

Middlesex County · Population 26,274

In 2026
Risk score
5.3
MODERATE

33th percentile, Massachusetts.

50-yr Eviction Risk Score history

1976 to 2026 · climbing fast since 2010

Min1.6 Average3.2 Now5.3
10 5 1976 · score 1.9 1977 · score 1.9 1978 · score 2.0 1979 · score 2.0 1980 · score 1.6 1981 · score 1.7 1982 · score 1.7 1983 · score 1.6 1984 · score 1.6 1985 · score 1.6 1986 · score 1.6 1987 · score 1.7 1988 · score 2.1 1989 · score 2.1 1990 · score 2.2 1991 · score 2.3 1992 · score 2.6 1993 · score 2.7 1994 · score 2.6 1995 · score 2.6 1996 · score 3.2 1997 · score 3.2 1998 · score 3.2 1999 · score 3.3 2000 · score 3.0 2001 · score 3.1 2002 · score 3.1 2003 · score 3.2 2004 · score 3.2 2005 · score 3.2 2006 · score 3.3 2007 · score 3.3 2008 · score 3.5 2009 · score 3.6 2010 · score 3.7 2011 · score 3.7 2012 · score 3.6 2013 · score 3.7 2014 · score 3.8 2015 · score 3.9 2016 · score 4.4 2017 · score 4.5 2018 · score 4.8 2019 · score 4.9 2020 · score 5.8 2021 · score 5.7 2022 · score 5.7 2023 · score 5.7 2024 · score 5.5 2025 · score 5.1 2026 · score 5.3

Key metrics

Time machine

Scrub 50 years

2026
● LIVE · today ◀ REPLAY · historical

Nine-axis profile

9-axis profile · today

Shape of the risk surface

1 landlord · 10 tenant
Local 7.5 Regional 7.5 State 6.2 Economic 4.4 Supply 7.7 Rent Control 6.0 Eviction 6.0 Tenant 5.7 Housing 4.7 5.3 MODERATE
Sub-scores · with sparkline

Where the score comes from

1 → 10 scale
  1. Local political climate
    Dem margin +39.5% (2024)
    7.5
  2. Regional political climate
    County-weighted neighbor mix
    7.5
  3. State political climate
    Massachusetts legislature & governorship
    6.2
  4. Economic stress
    5.6% poverty · 3.6% unemp.
    4.4
  5. Supply constraint
    $2,718 average · 25.8% renters
    7.7
  6. Rent Control risk
    30.5% of income on rent
    6.0
  7. Eviction process difficulty
    214 days filing → judgment
    6.0
  8. Tenant organizing strength
    25.8% renters
    5.7
  9. Housing court bias
    County bench composition
    4.7
Geographic context

Risk heat across Burlington and the region

Click any city to see its score

How Burlington compares

Risk score vs. peers, county, state, and the U.S.
Rank in Middlesex County
Low
#23 of 35 cities
Rank in county, 35th percentileBottomTop
#23 of 35 cities in Middlesex County for landlord eviction risk.
Rank in Massachusetts
Low
#167 of 248 cities
Rank in state, 33rd percentileBottomTop
#167 of 248 cities in Massachusetts for landlord eviction risk.
vs. county · state · U.S.
Burlington risk score vs. county / state / U.S.Burlington: 5.35.3BurlingtonThis cityCounty: 5.75.7Countyavg in countyState: 6.26.2Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.25.2U.S.national avg
Score story

Six-stop tour of the risk profile

  1. 5.3
    / 10 · MODERATE
    The verdict

    A Moderate-tier market.

    Composite 5.3/10. Mid-range market; standard documentation usually wins. The 50-year curve shows a sharp climb.

    50-yr trend+3.4 over 50 yr
    197620012026

    Steepening since 2010 · COVID inflection visible

  2. 214d
    Typical timeline
    The money

    What renting (and evicting) looks like.

    Rent published at $2,718/mo. A contested eviction takes 214 days and costs $10,758-$30,943 per case.

    50-yr trendCalendar drag rising since '15
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  3. 25.8%
    Renters
    The renters

    Who you'll be renting to.

    Out of 26,274 residents, 25.8% rent. 31% are spending 30%+ income on rent, 5.6% below the poverty line.

    50-yr trendRenter share rising
    197620012026

    ACS 1970-present · once the migration overlay is in.

  4. 7.5
    Local + regional
    The politics

    Mid-range climate. Not a coastal market.

    Local & regional political climate score 7.5 and 7.5 (Dem margin +39.5% (2024)). State climate at 6.2, a mid-range statehouse.

    50-yr trendTracks county vote margin
    197620012026

    Built on 50-yr presidential margins back to 1976.

  5. 6.2
    State politics
    The process

    Moderate calendar, moderate friction.

    State political climate 6.2/10 sets the legislative ceiling for landlord remedies, and it shows up in the process. Eviction process difficulty reads 6, housing court bias 4.7, rent-control risk 6. Standard process speed for the state.

    50-yr trendProcess difficulty +1.0 since '00
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  6. 4.4
    Economic stress
    The stress

    Economic pressure is the background risk.

    Economic stress: 4.4. Supply constraint: 7.7. The numbers behind those: 5.6% poverty, 3.6% unemployment, 31% of income on rent.

    50-yr trendTwo visible dips · '08 + COVID
    197620012026

    Mirrors BLS unemployment series.

US eviction landscape · timeline × all-in cost

Burlington sits in the slow & expensive quadrant

Bubble size = population · color = risk score
QUICK BUT COSTLY fast docket · high all-in loss SLOW & EXPENSIVE long calendar · high all-in loss QUICK & CHEAP fast docket · low all-in loss SLOW BUT CHEAP long calendar · low all-in loss 30d 50d 75d 100d 150d 200d 300d 450d $2.0k $3.0k $5.0k $7.5k $10k $15k $20k $30k EVICTION TIMELINE (DAYS) → ↑ ALL-IN COST (LOG SCALE) Boston, MA · 187d · ~$20.3k all-in ($109/day) · score 6.8 Boston Worcester, MA · 184d · ~$19.8k all-in ($108/day) · score 6.9 Worcester Cambridge, MA · 212d · ~$19.8k all-in ($93/day) · score 5.8 Cambridge Lowell, MA · 198d · ~$19.9k all-in ($101/day) · score 6.8 Lowell Brockton, MA · 207d · ~$19.7k all-in ($95/day) · score 7.1 Brockton Quincy, MA · 216d · ~$18.5k all-in ($85/day) · score 5.6 Quincy Lynn, MA · 195d · ~$20.6k all-in ($106/day) · score 6.6 Lynn Newton, MA · 200d · ~$18.9k all-in ($95/day) · score 4.4 Newton Lawrence, MA · 188d · ~$17.9k all-in ($95/day) · score 6.6 Lawrence Somerville, MA · 190d · ~$20.6k all-in ($108/day) · score 4.6 Somerville Houston, TX · 24d · ~$2.5k all-in ($103/day) · score 2.7 Houston Phoenix, AZ · 38d · ~$3.3k all-in ($86/day) · score 3.9 Phoenix Memphis, TN · 31d · ~$2.0k all-in ($66/day) · score 4.6 Memphis Atlanta, GA · 40d · ~$2.8k all-in ($69/day) · score 5.5 Atlanta Chicago, IL · 109d · ~$9.0k all-in ($82/day) · score 6.3 Chicago New York, NY · 417d · ~$29.5k all-in ($71/day) · score 9.8 New York Seattle, WA · 162d · ~$12.7k all-in ($79/day) · score 6.2 Seattle Burlington
Burlington · 214d · ~$20.9k all-in ($97/day) · score 5.3 National average: 58d · $4.6k all-in Hover any bubble for stats · click to open Color: 0-4   4-7   7-10
00Overview

About eviction risk in Burlington, MA

Landlording in Burlington, Massachusetts, presents a manageable operating environment for documented landlords. The Eviction Risk Score is 5.3/10 (MODERATE tier), drawn from the nine sub-axes shown above, covering rent-control exposure, eviction-process difficulty, housing-court bias, tenant-organizing strength, supply constraint, economic stress, and local, regional, and state political climate. This is not a quick-fix market: it's a Mid-tier market where lease drafting, screening discipline, and well-documented notices materially change outcomes.

Burlington is a city of 26,274 residents where 25.8% of occupied units are renter-occupied, and the typical renter spends 30.5% of income on rent. At an average rent of $2,718/month, the typical renter household here spends more than the federal 30% threshold on housing, a leading indicator of payment volatility and a precondition for the kinds of tenant defenses that show up most often in housing court.

01Process

How Burlington eviction process actually works

Eviction process difficulty here reads 6/10, a number that combines statutory complexity (notice categories, just-cause rules, mandatory pre-filing disclosures) with operational realities (court calendar length and clerk responsiveness). The typical contested filing in Burlington closes 214 days after the initial notice. For non-payment of rent the first step is a properly-formatted, properly-served pay-or-quit notice; for material lease breaches it's a cure-or-quit; for tenancies under just-cause protection an at-fault grounds notice (or a no-fault notice with statutory relocation assistance) is required.

The slow part of Burlington's timeline is usually the calendar, not the motion practice. Housing court bias scores 4.7/10 here, meaning judges read borderline procedural defects in the tenant's favor more often than the national norm. The practical implication: every notice and every proof of service needs to be airtight before it gets filed.

02Cost

What it costs (and how long it takes)

An all-in eviction in Burlington runs $10,758 to $30,943 per case once you account for filing fees, attorney time, lost rent during pendency, sheriff lockout, and unit turnover. That range is wide because the upper bound assumes a tenant answer plus motion practice, common when housing court bias is high. The lower bound assumes a default judgment after proper service.

For landlords running the numbers on holding costs vs. cash-for-keys: if your projected timeline times your monthly rent already exceeds the high-end cost number, cash-for-keys at 1-2 months' rent is typically the economically rational choice. With 214 days of typical timeline and $2,718/month in lost rent, that crossover happens fast here.

03Operations

Security deposits, screening, and lease terms

Tenant organizing strength scores 5.7/10 in Burlington, and the city carries meaningful rent control exposure (6/10). Operations practice that survives audit in this environment looks like:

  • Screening discipline. Document income (verified at 2.5 to 3x rent), credit (with a clear minimum), and prior-tenancy reference checks, but do not screen on protected categories or source-of-income where banned. Keep a written, consistent screening criteria document for every applicant.
  • Lease specificity. Use a state-specific lease that names every term clearly: rent due date, late fees within statutory caps, deposit handling, smoke and CO disclosure, lead paint disclosure (pre-1978 stock), and a clean attorney's-fees clause.
  • Security deposit handling. Itemize deductions within the statutory window. Photograph move-in/move-out condition. In Massachusetts, deposit cap and refund window are statute, so exceed them at your own risk.
  • Mid-tenancy documentation. Keep date-stamped records of every rent receipt, every habitability request, every notice served. The day you need them in court is too late to start.
04Strategy

What an everyday landlord should actually do here

If you own one to four units in Burlington: hire a property manager who knows the local court. The pricing differential between self-managing and hiring out is small relative to the cost of one botched eviction in a MODERATE tier market. If you own five or more: build relationships with a local landlord-side attorney before you need one, since retainer fees are negligible compared to emergency-rate billing when an eviction is already moving.

The avoidable mistakes here are all upstream of the filing: weak screening, an informal lease, sloppy rent receipts, and notice templates pulled off the internet that don't match Massachusetts's statutory language. Fix those four, and most cases settle or default. Skip them, and a $30,943 all-in fight is the realistic worst case.

04bPractical traps

Local traps to avoid in Burlington

Trap · PRACTICAL TRAP
Cost-versus-timeline trade-off: at 214 days and roughly $30,943 on the high end, cash-for-keys at $12,377 to $18,565 typically beats the legal route for non-aggravated cases. Default judgment frequency is high under MGL 239 + Housing Court.
05FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Q1

Can I evict a tenant in Burlington for non-payment if they only pay part of the rent?

Generally, no. If you accept a partial payment after issuing a 14-day notice to quit for non-payment, you may waive your right to evict based on that notice. You'd likely have to issue a new notice. It's often safer to refuse partial payments and insist on the full amount, or pursue a cash-for-keys agreement.

Q2

What if my tenant claims there are issues with the property? Can they withhold rent?

Massachusetts law allows tenants to withhold rent if a landlord fails to make repairs that affect the tenant's health or safety, after proper notice and a reasonable time to fix. This is a common defense in eviction cases. Always address repair requests promptly and in writing. Document all communication and repairs made.

Q3

How quickly can I get a tenant out if they're causing damage?

If a tenant is causing significant damage, you might be able to issue a 30-day notice to quit for cause. However, proving "damage" in court to justify an eviction can be difficult and often requires substantial evidence. For egregious or ongoing damage, consult an attorney to determine the best course of action and notice type.

Q4

Is rent control a risk in Burlington?

Currently, there is no rent control in Burlington or statewide in Massachusetts. However, the sub-score for rent-control-risk is 6, indicating a moderate risk. Massachusetts has seen attempts to reintroduce rent control in various forms. While not active now, it's something to monitor in the future. See our Massachusetts rent control rules for more.

Q5

Can I charge late fees in Burlington?

Yes, but Massachusetts law is specific. You cannot charge a late fee until rent is at least 30 days overdue. Any late fee must be reasonable and stipulated in your lease agreement. Don't try to charge a per-day fee or an excessive lump sum; it likely won't hold up in court.

06Score

What this score means for landlords2

A 5.3/10 places Burlington in the 33rd percentile of Massachusetts cities on the Eviction Risk Score index. The score is the average of the nine sub-axes, all calibrated on a national 1 to 10 scale where 1 is most landlord-friendly and 10 is most tenant-protective. The 50-year reconstruction shows this score has risen sharply since 1976, a structural drift driven by court-calendar growth, rent-control adoption, and the rise of tenant-side legal aid. The trajectory matters more than the snapshot: the score is the climate, not the weather.