Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #37,643 of 84,120 nationally
Winter Hill Eviction Risk: Moderate , Somerville
Tract 25017350108 · Middlesex County, MA · pop 3,905 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Landlord eviction risk in census tract 25017350108 (the Winter Hill area of Somerville, Massachusetts) comes in at 6.1/10, the Elevated tier. That is riskier than roughly 78% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
44% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 25% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,015 monthly, set against $98,359 in average yearly household income, roughly 25% of income at the averages. Renters make up 72% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 32%
Stable renters 40%
Owners 28%
Tract context
Occupied units1,671
Renter share72.2%
SVI overall0.57
Poverty rate16.7%
Median income$98,359
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
92
th percentile
Very High
Within county
82
th percentile
High
Within state
67
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Somerville and the region
Centroid at 42.3966, -71.0951 · click any tract to drill in
Why Winter Hill scores 4.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Somerville
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
16.7% poverty · this tract
4.2
Supply constraint
$2,015 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Somerville
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Somerville
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Somerville
8.0
How Winter Hill compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 57
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 68%Socioeconomic
- 32%Household composition
- 55%Racial/ethnic minority
- 47%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 65%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 0Total filings 2020-21
- 0.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 17.1%Housing insecurity
- 10.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 19.4%Food insecurity
- 23.1%SNAP enrollment
- 12.3%Transit barriers
- 7.3%No health insurance
- 19.4%Frequent mental distress
- 29.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Winter Hill
The heaviest input here is eviction process difficulty at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Somerville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Middlesex County average of 5.2 and in line with the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
The tract is racially mixed and ranks around the 57th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 25017350108
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25017350108?
Census tract 25017350108 in the Winter Hill neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25017350108?
Median gross rent is $2,015/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25017350108?
16.7% of residents in tract 25017350108 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,905.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25017350108?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 57th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 68th, household 32th, minority 55th, housing 47th.
Q5
Is tract 25017350108 considered part of Winter Hill?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25017350108 fall within Winter Hill (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 25017350108 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.00× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston eviction risk, MA), 2020-2021.
Q7
What share of households in tract 25017350108 struggle to pay rent?
About 17.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 25017350108 compare to Somerville overall?
Tract 25017350108 scores 4.2/10, lower than the parent city of Somerville at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Somerville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 25017350108 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Somerville
Top eight tracts in Somerville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MA
West Somerville
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MA
Brickbottom
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MA
East Somerville
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MA
East Somerville
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MA
Magoun Square
3.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MA
Teele Square
3.5
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MA
Teele Square
3.4
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MA
East Somerville
3.2
/ 10 · Low
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