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Census Tract · Ranked #32,842 of 84,120 nationally

Melrose Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 25017336202 · Middlesex County, MA · pop 3,268

Census tract 25017336202 covers part of Melrose, MA, and scores 5/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,268 residents. Against Middlesex County at 43.0%, about one in five of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2% Stable renters 7% Owners 91%
Tract context
Occupied units1,298
Renter share9.2%
SVI overall0.06
Poverty rate2.3%
Median income$140,625

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
17 th percentile
Rank, 17th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 7 tracts In Melrose
Very Low
Within county
26 th percentile
Rank, 26th percentileLowHigh
#266 of 357 tracts In Middlesex County
Low
Within state
32 th percentile
Rank, 32nd percentileLowHigh
#1,097 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
Low
National
61 th percentile
Rank, 61st percentileLowHigh
#32,842 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Melrose and the region

Centroid at 42.4613, -71.0549 · click any tract to drill in

Why Melrose scores 5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Melrose
8.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
2.3% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,500 rent vs county FMR
3.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Melrose
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Melrose
6.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Melrose
4.3

How Melrose compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Melrose risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.0This tracttract 3362025.9Melroseparent city6.3Countyavg tract in county6.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 6

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: A: Best

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 0Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.0Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2023-11-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Melrose

The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10. On the high side, local political climate reads 8.3/10. At $2,500 a month, rents run 27% over what the rest of Melrose commands.

It sits 1.3 points below the Middlesex County average of 6.3. Well under the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 2.5/10.

SNAP participation runs 5.9% against 15.2% nationally. Adults with no health insurance runs 2.4% against 11.3% nationally.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground A ("Best"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. On the national scale it lands near the 61st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 9% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the MA average is 6.2, so this tract runs 1.2 points cooler.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 25017336202

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25017336202?

Census tract 25017336202 in Melrose scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25017336202?

Median gross rent is $2,500/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 20% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25017336202?

2.3% of residents in tract 25017336202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,268.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25017336202?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 6th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 3th, household 10th, minority 14th, housing 32th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 25017336202 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 25017336202 compare to Melrose overall?

Tract 25017336202 scores 5/10, lower than the parent city of Melrose at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Melrose eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7

Was tract 25017336202 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Melrose

Top eight tracts in Melrose ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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