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Neighborhood · Ranked #23,808 of 84,120 nationally

Cleveland Circle Eviction Risk: Moderate , Newton

Tract 25017373600 · Middlesex County, MA · pop 6,122 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

With a score of 5.5/10, tract 25017373600 in the Cleveland Circle area of Newton, MA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 6,122. 23% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well under the Middlesex County average of 43.0%.

Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8% Stable renters 26% Owners 66%
Tract context
Occupied units1,018
Renter share33.4%
SVI overall0.18
Poverty rate8.9%
Median income$250,001

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Cleveland Circle
Moderate
Within parent city
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 19 tracts In Newton
High
Within county
39 th percentile
Rank, 39th percentileLowHigh
#220 of 357 tracts In Middlesex County
Low
Within state
42 th percentile
Rank, 42nd percentileLowHigh
#940 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Newton and the region

Centroid at 42.3300, -71.1743 · click any tract to drill in

Why Cleveland Circle scores 5.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Newton
7.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
8.9% poverty · this tract
2.2
Supply constraint
$1,960 rent vs county FMR
1.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Newton
4.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Newton
6.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Newton
3.9

How Cleveland Circle compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Cleveland Circle risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.5This tracttract 3736005.9Newtonparent city6.3Countyavg tract in county6.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 18

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 23Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 1.69%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.1%Peak (2016)
  • 9Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2012 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 25017373600
Filings climbed 200% over the past 5 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 0Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.0Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.5Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2023-11-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Cleveland Circle

The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1.9/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 2.2/10. Well under the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 2.5/10.

At $1,960 a month, rents run 17% under what the rest of Newton commands. Food insecurity runs 9.0% against 17.8% nationally.

The filing record is not thin: 23 evictions over 5 years of observation. Adults with no health insurance runs 3.0% against 11.3% nationally. It sits 0.8 points below the Middlesex County average of 6.3.

The worst year on record was 2016, when 3.1% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Brookline. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 1.7% of renter households face a filing.

On the national scale it lands near the 72nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 25017373600

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25017373600?

Census tract 25017373600 in the Cleveland Circle neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25017373600?

Median gross rent is $1,960/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 23% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25017373600?

8.9% of residents in tract 25017373600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,122.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25017373600?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 18th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 6th, household 6th, minority 45th, housing 75th.
Q5

Is tract 25017373600 considered part of Cleveland Circle?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25017373600 fall within Cleveland Circle (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25017373600?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 23 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 25017373600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.69% of renter households, peaking at 3.1% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 25017373600 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.00× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston eviction risk, MA), 2020-2021.
Q8

What share of households in tract 25017373600 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9

How does tract 25017373600 compare to Newton overall?

Tract 25017373600 scores 5.5/10, lower than the parent city of Newton at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Newton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10

Was tract 25017373600 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Newton

Top eight tracts in Newton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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