Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally
Nonantum Eviction Risk: Moderate , Newton
Tract 25017373400 · Middlesex County, MA · pop 3,520 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
25017373400 is a census tract in the Nonantum area of Newton, MA. It scores 5.2/10 for landlords. Population here is 3,520. Severe burden reaches 36%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23%
Stable renters 18%
Owners 59%
Tract context
Occupied units1,311
Renter share40.4%
SVI overall0.10
Poverty rate4.9%
Median income$137,656
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
72
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
34
th percentile
Low
Within state
37
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Newton and the region
Centroid at 42.3475, -71.2020 · click any tract to drill in
Why Nonantum scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Newton
7.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
4.9% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$3,232 rent vs county FMR
6.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Newton
4.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Newton
6.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Newton
3.9
How Nonantum compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 10
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 7%Socioeconomic
- 10%Household composition
- 32%Racial/ethnic minority
- 32%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 67%Grade B
- 33%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 5Total filings over 3 yrs
- 0.31%Avg annual filing rate
- 0.4%Peak (2012)
- 2Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 0Total filings 2020-21
- 0.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.1Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.3%Housing insecurity
- 3.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 6.2%Food insecurity
- 6.6%SNAP enrollment
- 4.7%Transit barriers
- 2.7%No health insurance
- 12.9%Frequent mental distress
- 22.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Nonantum
Against Middlesex County at 43.0%, 56% of renters here are cost-burdened. At $3,232 a month, rents run 36% over what the rest of Newton commands. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.2/10.
Food insecurity runs 6.2% against 17.8% nationally. Well under the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 2.5/10.
Against the Middlesex County average of 6.3, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.1 points. Running hot, regional political climate reads 7.3/10. The filing record is not thin: 5 evictions over 3 years of observation.
The voucher gap is 13.9%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.9% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Filings peaked in 2012 at 0.4% of renter households.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 25017373400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25017373400?
Census tract 25017373400 in the Nonantum neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25017373400?
Median gross rent is $3,232/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25017373400?
4.9% of residents in tract 25017373400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,520.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25017373400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 10th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 7th, household 10th, minority 32th, housing 32th.
Q5
Is tract 25017373400 considered part of Nonantum?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25017373400 fall within Nonantum (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25017373400?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 5 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 25017373400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.31% of renter households, peaking at 0.4% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 25017373400 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.00× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston eviction risk, MA), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 25017373400 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 25017373400 compare to Newton overall?
Tract 25017373400 scores 5.2/10, lower than the parent city of Newton at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Newton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 25017373400 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Newton
Top eight tracts in Newton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MA
Newton Highlands
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MA
Bemis
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MA
The Island
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MA
Cleveland Circle
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MA
Night Caps Corner
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MA
Oak Square
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MA
Thompsonville
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MA
Thompsonville
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
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