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Neighborhood · Newton, MA

Oak Square Eviction Risk: Moderate

3 census tracts · pop 12,845 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.5/10 · range 3.9-5.8

Oak Square is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Newton with 3 census tracts and a population of 12,845 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.5/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 24% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 10% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $2,697/month sits 14% higher than the Newton citywide average ($2,370).

Risk score
4.5
Moderate
3 tracts · population-weighted
Oak Square vs Newton How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
23.6% -13%
Newton: 27.2%
Average gross rent
$2,697 +14%
Newton: $2,370
Average HH income
$199,828 +8%
Newton: $184,989
Poverty rate
5.7% +21%
Newton: 4.7%
Renter share
30.3% +1%
Newton: 30.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Oak Square and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 3.9-5.8

Why Oak Square scores 4.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.2-6.2 across tracts
6.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.3-7.3 across tracts
7.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.2-7.1 across tracts
7.0
Rent control risk
24% of income on rent · Range 4.8-6.2 across tracts
5.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.0-5.9 across tracts
5.8
Tenant organizing strength
30% renter households · Range 4.0-6.3 across tracts
6.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.9-5.0 across tracts
4.0
Economic stress
5.7% below poverty line · Range 1.0-3.2 across tracts
1.4
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.4-5.4 across tracts
4.5
Risk score comparison

Oak Square vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0-10 scale).

Oak Square score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Oak Square: 4.54.5Oak SquareNeighborhoodParent city: 4.44.4Parent cityhost cityState: 6.26.2Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.25.2U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Oak Square?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.9 points from 3.9 to 5.8. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in Oak Square

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
25017370402 5.8 1,575 27% $2,373
25017373100 4.7 5,153 39% $2,509
25017373500 3.9 6,117 10% $2,938
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 18

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 10%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 20%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 43%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 44%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Oak Square

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000-2018)

  • 35Total filings (sum)
  • 0.62%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.1%Peak year (2012)
  • 0.46%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Oak Square

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Oak Square

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Oak Square?

Oak Square scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

Q2

How does Oak Square compare to Newton overall?

Oak Square scores 0.1 points higher than Newton overall (4.4/10). Renters spend 24% of income on rent vs 27% citywide. Average rent: $2,697 vs $2,370.

Q3

What is the average rent in Oak Square?

Average gross rent in Oak Square is $2,697/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 24% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q4

What percentage of Oak Square residents are renters?

30% of Oak Square households are renter-occupied (vs 30% in Newton). The neighborhood has 12,845 residents.

Q5

Is Oak Square a high social-vulnerability area?

Oak Square sits in the 18th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Q6

Which tracts in Oak Square have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Oak Square is census tract 25017370402 (score 5.8/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.9 to 5.8, a spread of 1.9 points.

Q7

How safe is Oak Square for landlords?

Oak Square carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.5/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Newton as a whole (4.4/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.

Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Oak Square?

Oak Square has 12,970 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (72.8%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (10.6%), Other / Multiracial (9.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Oak Square

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Newton

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Oak Square.

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