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Neighborhood · Newton, MA

Oak Square Eviction Risk: Moderate

3 census tracts · pop 12,845 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.2/10 · range 5–5.9

Oak Square takes in 3 census tracts of Newton, MA, population 12,845. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 5.2/10, Moderate tier. Pulling the other way is economic stress, at 1.4/10.

Court records carry 35 eviction filings across its 2 observed tracts. Severe burden reaches 10%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

Food insecurity affects 7.1% of adults, 10.7 points below the national rate. 3.0% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt. At $2,697 a month, rents sit 14% over what the rest of Newton commands.

Cost burden runs 24% against 27.2% citywide, putting Oak Square 3.6% under its own city. The worst year on record was 2012, when filings touched 1.1% of renter households.

The most recent observed rate, 0.4% in 2016, is well off that peak. That places it #4 of 11 neighborhoods in Newton. The closest comparables inside the same city are Nonantum and Thompsonville.

Rent takes 16% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market. Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

The 3 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0.9 points apart at the extremes.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
5.2
Moderate
3 tracts · population-weighted
Oak Square vs Newton How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
23.6% -13%
Newton: 27.2%
Average gross rent
$2,697 +14%
Newton: $2,370
Average HH income
$199,828 +8%
Newton: $184,989
Poverty rate
5.7% +21%
Newton: 4.7%
Renter share
30.3% +1%
Newton: 30.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Oak Square and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 5–5.9

Why Oak Square scores 5.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts
6.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts
7.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.2–7.1 across tracts
7.0
Rent control risk
24% of income on rent · Range 4.8–6.2 across tracts
5.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.0–5.9 across tracts
5.8
Tenant organizing strength
30% renter households · Range 4.0–6.3 across tracts
6.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.9–5.0 across tracts
4.0
Economic stress
5.7% below poverty line · Range 1.0–3.2 across tracts
1.4
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.4–5.4 across tracts
4.5
Risk score comparison

Oak Square vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Oak Square score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.2Oak SquareNeighborhood5.9Parent cityhost city6.4Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Oak Square?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 0.9 points from 5 to 5.9. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in Oak Square

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
25017370402 5.9 1,575 27% $2,373
25017373100 5.2 5,153 39% $2,509
25017373500 5 6,117 10% $2,938
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 18

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 10%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 20%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 43%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 44%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Oak Square

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 35Total filings (sum)
  • 0.62%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.1%Peak year (2012)
  • 0.46%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Oak Square

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Oak Square

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Oak Square?

Oak Square scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Oak Square compare to Newton overall?

Oak Square scores 0.7 points lower than Newton overall (5.9/10). Renters spend 24% of income on rent vs 27% citywide. Average rent: $2,697 vs $2,370.
Q3

What is the average rent in Oak Square?

Average gross rent in Oak Square is $2,697/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 24% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Oak Square residents are renters?

30% of Oak Square households are renter-occupied (vs 30% in Newton). The neighborhood has 12,845 residents.
Q5

Is Oak Square a high social-vulnerability area?

Oak Square sits in the 18th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Oak Square have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Oak Square is census tract 25017370402 (score 5.9/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5 to 5.9, a spread of 0.9 points.
Q7

How safe is Oak Square for landlords?

Oak Square carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.2/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Newton as a whole (5.9/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Oak Square?

Oak Square has 12,970 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (72.8%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (10.6%), Other / Multiracial (9.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Oak Square

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Newton

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Oak Square.

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