Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #9,433 of 84,120 nationally
Prospect Hill Eviction Risk: Elevated , Somerville
Tract 25017351300 · Middlesex County, MA · pop 4,606 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
With a score of 7.7/10, tract 25017351300 in the Prospect Hill area of Somerville, MA reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. Cost burden runs 30% here against 43.0% across Middlesex County.
Risk score
7.7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23%
Stable renters 53%
Owners 24%
Tract context
Occupied units2,100
Renter share76.5%
SVI overall0.40
Poverty rate7.3%
Median income$123,125
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
58
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
75
th percentile
High
Within state
77
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Somerville and the region
Centroid at 42.3835, -71.0951 · click any tract to drill in
Why Prospect Hill scores 7.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Somerville
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
7.3% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$2,195 rent vs county FMR
2.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Somerville
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Somerville
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Somerville
8.0
How Prospect Hill compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 40
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 32%Socioeconomic
- 10%Household composition
- 37%Racial/ethnic minority
- 83%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 1%Grade C
- 92%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 42Total filings over 5 yrs
- 0.52%Avg annual filing rate
- 0.7%Peak (2012)
- 8Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 27% over the past 5 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 0Total filings 2020-21
- 0.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.7Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.5%Housing insecurity
- 6.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.7%Food insecurity
- 12.1%SNAP enrollment
- 7.6%Transit barriers
- 4.7%No health insurance
- 16.6%Frequent mental distress
- 23.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Prospect Hill
The score leans hardest on local political climate at 8.5/10. 76% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Running cool, economic stress reads 1.8/10.
Against the Middlesex County average of 6.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points. Severe burden reaches 15%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Running hot, eviction-process difficulty reads 8/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 42 filings here across 5 tracked years.
At $2,195 a month, rents run 13% under what the rest of Somerville commands. Food insecurity runs 10.7% against 17.8% nationally. The worst year on record was 2012, when 0.7% of renter households were served.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 0.5% of renter households face a filing.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 25017351300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25017351300?
Census tract 25017351300 in the Prospect Hill neighborhood scores 7.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25017351300?
Median gross rent is $2,195/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25017351300?
7.3% of residents in tract 25017351300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,606.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25017351300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 40th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 32th, household 10th, minority 37th, housing 83th.
Q5
Is tract 25017351300 considered part of Prospect Hill?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25017351300 fall within Prospect Hill (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25017351300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 42 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 25017351300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.52% of renter households, peaking at 0.7% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 25017351300 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.00× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston eviction risk, MA), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 25017351300 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 25017351300 compare to Somerville overall?
Tract 25017351300 scores 7.7/10, right in line with the parent city of Somerville at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Somerville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 25017351300 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 92% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Somerville
Top eight tracts in Somerville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MA
Winter Hill
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Brickbottom
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
West Somerville
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
East Somerville
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
East Somerville
8.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Magoun Square
8.3
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Teele Square
8.2
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Teele Square
8.1
/ 10 · High
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