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Neighborhood · Waltham, MA

Pigeon Hill Eviction Risk: Elevated

2 census tracts · pop 9,727 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.6/10 · range 5.8–7.9

Pigeon Hill is a 2-tract neighborhood of Waltham, MA and houses 9,727 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 6.6/10, Elevated tier. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.2/10.

Average gross rent is $1,445, 36% below the Waltham average of $2,268. The 2 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 5.8 to 7.9, a 2.1-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address. The poverty rate is 26%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Severe burden reaches 14%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. about one in five of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, below the Waltham rate of 27.8%. Court records carry 36 eviction filings across its 2 observed tracts.

Filing activity peaked in 2015 at 1.8% of renter households. 4.5% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt. Recent filings have not receded much: 1.6% in 2016 against a 1.8% peak.

Among the 8 mapped neighborhoods of Waltham, it ranks #4 by risk, the middle third. Only 25% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

For a like-for-like read, The Bleachery and Prospectville score within a fraction of it.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 2.1 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
6.6
Elevated
2 tracts · population-weighted
Pigeon Hill vs Waltham How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
22.0% -21%
Waltham: 27.8%
Average gross rent
$1,445 -36%
Waltham: $2,268
Average HH income
$85,583 -27%
Waltham: $116,560
Poverty rate
25.9% +200%
Waltham: 8.6%
Renter share
24.7% -51%
Waltham: 50.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Pigeon Hill and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 5.8–7.9

Why Pigeon Hill scores 6.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts
6.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts
7.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Rent control risk
22% of income on rent · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Tenant organizing strength
25% renter households · Range 9.2–9.2 across tracts
9.2
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.9–4.9 across tracts
4.9
Economic stress
25.9% below poverty line · Range 1.5–10.0 across tracts
4.6
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.0–5.0 across tracts
3.7
Risk score comparison

Pigeon Hill vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Pigeon Hill score vs. parent city, state, U.S.6.6Pigeon HillNeighborhood6.5Parent cityhost city6.4Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Pigeon Hill

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
25017369000 7.9 3,552 0% ,
25017368901 5.8 6,175 35% $2,276
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 33

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 28%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 24%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 50%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 60%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Pigeon Hill

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 36Total filings (sum)
  • 1.60%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.8%Peak year (2015)
  • 1.61%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Pigeon Hill

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Pigeon Hill

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Pigeon Hill?

Pigeon Hill scores 6.6/10 (Elevated tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Pigeon Hill compare to Waltham overall?

Pigeon Hill scores 0.1 points higher than Waltham overall (6.5/10). Renters spend 22% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $1,445 vs $2,268.
Q3

What is the average rent in Pigeon Hill?

Average gross rent in Pigeon Hill is $1,445/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 22% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Pigeon Hill residents are renters?

25% of Pigeon Hill households are renter-occupied (vs 50% in Waltham). The neighborhood has 9,727 residents.
Q5

Is Pigeon Hill a high social-vulnerability area?

Pigeon Hill sits in the 33rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Pigeon Hill have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Pigeon Hill is census tract 25017369000 (score 7.9/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.8 to 7.9, a spread of 2.1 points.
Q7

How safe is Pigeon Hill for landlords?

Pigeon Hill carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.6/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Waltham as a whole (6.5/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Pigeon Hill?

Pigeon Hill has 9,737 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (69%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (13.3%), Hispanic / Latino (7.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Pigeon Hill

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Waltham

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Pigeon Hill.

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