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Neighborhood · Newton, MA

The Island Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 10,930 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.5/10 · range 5.2-5.7

The Island is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Newton with 2 census tracts and a population of 10,930 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 5.5/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 46% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 22% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $2,067/month sits 13% lower than the Newton citywide average ($2,370).

Risk score
5.5
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
The Island vs Newton How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
46.2% +70%
Newton: 27.2%
Average gross rent
$2,067 -13%
Newton: $2,370
Average HH income
$138,155 -25%
Newton: $184,989
Poverty rate
8.3% +77%
Newton: 4.7%
Renter share
55.8% +86%
Newton: 30.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across The Island and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 5.2-5.7

Why The Island scores 5.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.2-6.2 across tracts
6.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.3-7.3 across tracts
7.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.1-7.5 across tracts
7.3
Rent control risk
46% of income on rent · Range 4.8-5.1 across tracts
5.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.7-5.9 across tracts
5.8
Tenant organizing strength
56% renter households · Range 6.3-9.2 across tracts
8.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.9-4.9 across tracts
4.5
Economic stress
8.3% below poverty line · Range 2.0-2.1 across tracts
2.1
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.2-2.4 across tracts
2.3
Risk score comparison

The Island vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0-10 scale).

The Island score vs. parent city, state, U.S.The Island: 5.55.5The IslandNeighborhoodParent city: 4.44.4Parent cityhost cityState: 6.26.2Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.25.2U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in The Island

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
25017368600 5.7 6,230 42% $2,036
25017374700 5.2 4,700 52% $2,107
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 36

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 36%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 18%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 52%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 57%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in The Island

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000-2018)

  • 98Total filings (sum)
  • 0.91%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.6%Peak year (2014)
  • 0.74%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in The Island

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About The Island

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for The Island?

The Island scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

Q2

How does The Island compare to Newton overall?

The Island scores 1.1 points higher than Newton overall (4.4/10). Renters spend 46% of income on rent vs 27% citywide. Average rent: $2,067 vs $2,370.

Q3

What is the average rent in The Island?

Average gross rent in The Island is $2,067/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q4

What percentage of The Island residents are renters?

56% of The Island households are renter-occupied (vs 30% in Newton). The neighborhood has 10,930 residents.

Q5

Is The Island a high social-vulnerability area?

The Island sits in the 36th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Q6

Which tracts in The Island have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in The Island is census tract 25017368600 (score 5.7/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.2 to 5.7, a spread of 0.5 points.

Q7

How safe is The Island for landlords?

The Island carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.5/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Newton as a whole (4.4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of The Island?

The Island has 10,382 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (63.2%), Hispanic / Latino (19.9%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (8.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near The Island

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Newton

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to The Island.

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