Frederick Douglass Square Historic District Eviction Risk: Elevated , Boston
Tract 25025010500 ·
Suffolk County, MA · pop 3,330 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Here is how census tract 25025010500, in the Frederick Douglass Square Historic District area of Boston eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 7.6/10 eviction-risk score (Elevated tier) across a population of 3,330. That is riskier than about 99% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 60% of renter households, a severe level, and 46% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $3,109 a month against an average household income of $56,386 a year, roughly 66% of income at the averages. About 87% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
7.7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 52%Stable renters 35%Owners 13%
Tract context
Occupied units1,753
Renter share87.5%
SVI overall0.69
Poverty rate32.5%
Median income$56,386
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
61th percentile
#8 of 19 tracts In Frederick Douglass Square Historic District
Elevated
Within parent city
87th percentile
#27 of 206 tracts In Boston
High
Within county
90th percentile
#25 of 234 tracts In Suffolk County
High
Within state
98th percentile
#37 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Boston and the region
Centroid at 42.3445, -71.0843 · click any tract to drill in
Why Frederick Douglass Square Historic District scores 7.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Boston
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
32.5% poverty · this tract
8.1
Supply constraint
$3,109 rent vs county FMR
6.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Boston
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Boston
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Boston
8.0
How Frederick Douglass Square Historic District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 69
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
61%Socioeconomic
13%Household composition
68%Racial/ethnic minority
96%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
0%Grade A
0%Grade B
63%Grade C
36%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
32Total filings over 5 yrs
0.43%Avg annual filing rate
0.6%Peak (2012)
4Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year2012 to 2016
Filings dropped 56% over the past 5 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
26Total filings 2020-21
0.6Avg monthly (observed)
0.7Pre-pandemic baseline
0.85×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–20212020-01-01 to 2023-11-01
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Frederick Douglass Square Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
11.2%Housing insecurity
7.4%Utility-shutoff threat
14.5%Food insecurity
15.3%SNAP enrollment
10.2%Transit barriers
4.3%No health insurance
18.3%Frequent mental distress
24.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Frederick Douglass Square Historic District
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 8.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Boston eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Suffolk County average of 6.7 and above the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 69th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
In CDC survey modeling, about 11.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 25025010500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25025010500?
Census tract 25025010500 in the Frederick Douglass Square Historic District neighborhood scores 7.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25025010500?
Median gross rent is $3,109/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25025010500?
32.5% of residents in tract 25025010500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,330.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25025010500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 69th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 61th, household 13th, minority 68th, housing 96th.
Q5
Is tract 25025010500 considered part of Frederick Douglass Square Historic District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25025010500 fall within Frederick Douglass Square Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25025010500?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 32 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 25025010500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.43% of renter households, peaking at 0.6% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 25025010500 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.85× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston eviction risk, MA), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 25025010500 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 25025010500 compare to Boston overall?
Tract 25025010500 scores 7.7/10, higher than the parent city of Boston at 7.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Boston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 25025010500 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 36% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Boston
Top eight tracts in Boston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.