Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #2,657 of 84,120 nationally
Frederick Douglass Square Historic District Eviction Risk: High , Boston
Tract 25025010403 · Suffolk County, MA · pop 2,665 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Tract 25025010403 sits in the Frederick Douglass Square Historic District area of Boston eviction risk, MA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 9.5/10. Severe burden reaches 38%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
9.5
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 64%
Stable renters 26%
Owners 10%
Tract context
Occupied units1,672
Renter share90.4%
SVI overall0.47
Poverty rate51.1%
Median income$40,581
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
76
th percentile
High
Within county
83
th percentile
High
Within state
99
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Boston and the region
Centroid at 42.3451, -71.0881 · click any tract to drill in
Why Frederick Douglass Square Historic District scores 9.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Boston
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
51.1% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$2,209 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Boston
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Boston
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Boston
8.0
How Frederick Douglass Square Historic District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 47
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 59%Socioeconomic
- 9%Household composition
- 64%Racial/ethnic minority
- 57%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 100%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 252Total filings over 5 yrs
- 2.83%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.6%Peak (2013)
- 32Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 47% over the past 5 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 71Total filings 2020-21
- 1.5Avg monthly (observed)
- 4.5Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.34×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Frederick Douglass Square Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Tract · MA
Frederick Douglass Square Historic District
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Frederick Douglass Square Historic District
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Frederick Douglass Square Historic District
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Frederick Douglass Square Historic District
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 14.3%Housing insecurity
- 10.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 19.6%Food insecurity
- 23.7%SNAP enrollment
- 12.8%Transit barriers
- 5.1%No health insurance
- 18.7%Frequent mental distress
- 28.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Frederick Douglass Square Historic District
71% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Suffolk County average of 47.0%. Set annual rent against average income of $40,581 and the ratio lands at 65%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10.
The poverty rate is 51%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. 90% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.
Running hot, local political climate reads 8.5/10. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10.
It sits 1.6 points above the Suffolk County average of 7.9. SNAP participation runs 23.7% against 15.2% nationally. Court records carry 252 eviction filings across 5 observed years.
The worst year on record was 2013, when 3.6% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Boston. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 25025010403
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25025010403?
Census tract 25025010403 in the Frederick Douglass Square Historic District neighborhood scores 9.5/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25025010403?
Median gross rent is $2,209/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 71% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25025010403?
51.1% of residents in tract 25025010403 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,665.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25025010403?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 47th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 59th, household 9th, minority 64th, housing 57th.
Q5
Is tract 25025010403 considered part of Frederick Douglass Square Historic District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25025010403 fall within Frederick Douglass Square Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25025010403?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 252 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 25025010403 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.83% of renter households, peaking at 3.6% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 25025010403 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.34× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston eviction risk, MA), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 25025010403 struggle to pay rent?
About 14.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 25025010403 compare to Boston overall?
Tract 25025010403 scores 9.5/10, higher than the parent city of Boston at 8.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Boston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 25025010403 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Boston
Top eight tracts in Boston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MA
Brookline Village
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Grove Hall
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Dorchester Heights
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Frederick Douglass Square Historic District
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Ashmont
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Brookline Village
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Frederick Douglass Square Historic District
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Frederick Douglass Square Historic District
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Related
Explore the geography around tract 25025010403
Parent city ↑
Boston
8.1 / 10
Parent county ↑
Suffolk County
Parent state ↑
Massachusetts
Sibling tract →
Frederick Douglass Square Historic District
9.5 / 10
Sibling tract →
Frederick Douglass Square Historic District
9.5 / 10
Sibling tract →
Frederick Douglass Square Historic District
9.5 / 10
Methodology
How the score is built
Interactive map
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