Frederick Douglass Square Historic District Eviction Risk: High , Boston

The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10. At $765 a month, rents run 64% under what the rest of Boston commands. The poverty rate is 42%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

28% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10.

SNAP participation runs 32.7% against 15.2% nationally. 71% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.5/10.

It sits 1.6 points above the Suffolk County average of 7.9. Food insecurity runs 27.1% against 17.8% nationally.

This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Boston. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. On the national scale it lands near the 97th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Social vulnerability reads 9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.