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Neighborhood · Boston, MA

Frederick Douglass Square Historic District Eviction Risk: Elevated

19 census tracts · pop 58,859 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.5/10 · range 4–7.9

Frederick Douglass Square Historic District is a diverse neighborhood in Boston with 19 census tracts and a population of 58,859 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 6.5/10 (Elevated tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 52% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 28% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,808/month sits 16% lower than the Boston citywide average ($2,147).

Risk score
6.5
Elevated
19 tracts · population-weighted
Frederick Douglass Square Historic District vs Boston How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
51.7% +69%
Boston: 30.6%
Average gross rent
$1,808 -16%
Boston: $2,147
Average HH income
$78,280 -17%
Boston: $94,755
Poverty rate
29.8% +77%
Boston: 16.9%
Renter share
77.0% +20%
Boston: 64.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Frederick Douglass Square Historic District and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 19 tracts span score 4–7.9

Why Frederick Douglass Square Historic District scores 6.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts
6.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.2–8.2 across tracts
8.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Rent control risk
52% of income on rent · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
77% renter households · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Economic stress
29.8% below poverty line · Range 1.0–10.0 across tracts
6.9
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–6.7 across tracts
2.6
Risk score comparison

Frederick Douglass Square Historic District vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Frederick Douglass Square Historic District score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Frederick Douglass: 6.56.5Frederick DouglassNeighborhoodParent city: 7.17.1Parent cityhost cityState: 6.26.2Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Frederick Douglass Square Historic District?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 3.9 points from 4 to 7.9. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

19 tracts in Frederick Douglass Square Historic District

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
25025010405 7.9 5,921 47% $677
25025010404 7.8 4,585 75% $2,139
25025080601 7.8 3,572 66% $973
25025080801 7.6 4,133 42% $713
25025080500 7.5 3,698 44% $1,241
25025010403 7.4 2,665 71% $2,209
25025070502 7.3 3,787 65% $765
25025010500 7.2 3,330 60% $3,109
25025070801 7 1,049 72% $2,162
25025070901 6.6 1,277 45% $823
25025071101 6.3 3,873 57% $1,989
25025070802 5.3 2,306 51% $2,653
25025071201 5.2 4,248 36% $1,388
25025070902 5.1 2,079 41% $2,371
25025010600 4.7 3,174 51% $2,683
25025070700 4.6 2,643 58% $2,444
25025010701 4.4 2,314 34% $2,598
25025070501 4.1 1,977 33% $3,090
25025070600 4 2,228 21% $3,321
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 66

Pop-weighted across 19 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 63%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 38%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 67%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 83%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Frederick Douglass Square Historic District

Aggregated across 13 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 2,241Total filings (sum)
  • 3.34%Avg annual filing rate
  • 8.3%Peak year (2016)
  • 3.26%Latest filed (2016)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 1,097Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.3Avg monthly observed
  • 2.8Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.52×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston, MA).

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Frederick Douglass Square Historic District

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Frederick Douglass Square Historic District

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Frederick Douglass Square Historic District?

Frederick Douglass Square Historic District scores 6.5/10 (Elevated tier) across 19 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Frederick Douglass Square Historic District compare to Boston overall?

Frederick Douglass Square Historic District scores 0.6 points lower than Boston overall (7.1/10). Renters spend 52% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,808 vs $2,147.
Q3

What is the average rent in Frederick Douglass Square Historic District?

Average gross rent in Frederick Douglass Square Historic District is $1,808/month (pop-weighted across 19 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Frederick Douglass Square Historic District residents are renters?

77% of Frederick Douglass Square Historic District households are renter-occupied (vs 64% in Boston). The neighborhood has 58,859 residents.
Q5

Is Frederick Douglass Square Historic District a high social-vulnerability area?

Frederick Douglass Square Historic District sits in the 66th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Frederick Douglass Square Historic District have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Frederick Douglass Square Historic District is census tract 25025010405 (score 7.9/10). Across the 19 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4 to 7.9, a spread of 3.9 points.
Q7

How safe is Frederick Douglass Square Historic District for landlords?

Frederick Douglass Square Historic District carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.5/10). Pop-weighted across 19 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Boston as a whole (7.1/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Frederick Douglass Square Historic District?

Frederick Douglass Square Historic District has 59,349 residents (Diverse Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (48%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (17%), Hispanic / Latino (16.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Frederick Douglass Square Historic District

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Boston

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Frederick Douglass Square Historic District.

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