Lower Allston Eviction Risk: High , Boston
Tract 25025000804 · Suffolk County, MA · pop 3,224 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
Census tract 25025000804 covers part of the Lower Allston area of Boston, MA, and scores 8.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,224 residents. Against Suffolk County at 47.0%, around a third of renters here are cost-burdened.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Boston and the region
Centroid at 42.3586, -71.1309 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lower Allston scores 8.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Lower Allston compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 43
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 24%Socioeconomic
- 18%Household composition
- 62%Racial/ethnic minority
- 84%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 2%Grade C
- 89%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 47Total filings 2020-21
- 1.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.5Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.65×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Lower Allston. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.4%Housing insecurity
- 7.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 13.5%Food insecurity
- 13.9%SNAP enrollment
- 9.0%Transit barriers
- 5.2%No health insurance
- 16.8%Frequent mental distress
- 20.8%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Lower Allston
The dominant input is local political climate at 8.5/10. Annualized rent equals 34% of average household income of $81,853, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.
Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10. Running hot, regional political climate reads 8.2/10.
13% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The poverty rate is 21%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. It sits 0.9 points above the Suffolk County average of 7.9.
Average gross rent is $2,346, 9% above the Boston average. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. That is riskier than roughly 95% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
About tract 25025000804
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25025000804?
What is the average rent in tract 25025000804?
What is the poverty rate in tract 25025000804?
How socially vulnerable is tract 25025000804?
Is tract 25025000804 considered part of Lower Allston?
Did eviction filings in tract 25025000804 drop during COVID?
What share of households in tract 25025000804 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 25025000804 compare to Boston overall?
Was tract 25025000804 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Boston
Top eight tracts in Boston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.