1 census tracts · pop 4,031 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.5/10
· range 4.5–4.5
Cottage Hill maps to a single census tract in Winthrop Town, MA, population 4,031. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 4.5/10, in the Moderate tier. Against a Winthrop Town baseline of 31.8%, 58% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.
29% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. The main counterweight is economic stress, at 1.6/10. On the softer side is supply constraint, at 2.5/10.
The filing record is not thin: 104 evictions logged in this tract. 4.2% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt. Filing activity peaked in 2013 at 2.4% of renter households.
Food insecurity affects 9.1% of adults, 8.7 points below the national rate. Recent filings have not receded much: 2.6% in 2016 against a 2.4% peak.
The closest comparables inside the same city are Cottage Park and Winthrop Highlands. Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
Average gross rent runs $2,129, close to the Winthrop Town average. Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $113,214.
One tract means one number: 4.5/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
4.5
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Cottage Hill vs Winthrop TownHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority38%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport55%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Cottage Hill
Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
104Total filings (sum)
2.18%Avg annual filing rate
2.4%Peak year (2013)
2.64%Latest filed (2016)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
68Total filings 2020-21
1.5Avg monthly observed
1.9Pre-pandemic baseline
0.78×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston, MA).
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Cottage Hill
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
9.6%Housing insecurity
6.0%Utility shutoff threat
9.1%Food insecurity
10.0%SNAP enrollment
4.2%No health insurance
21.8%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Cottage Hill
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Cottage Hill?
Cottage Hill scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Cottage Hill compare to Winthrop Town overall?
Cottage Hill scores 1.4 points lower than Winthrop Town overall (5.9/10). Renters spend 58% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $2,129 vs $2,064.
Q3
What is the average rent in Cottage Hill?
Average gross rent in Cottage Hill is $2,129/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Cottage Hill residents are renters?
45% of Cottage Hill households are renter-occupied (vs 43% in Winthrop Town). The neighborhood has 4,031 residents.
Q5
Is Cottage Hill a high social-vulnerability area?
Cottage Hill sits in the 24th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is Cottage Hill for landlords?
Cottage Hill carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.5/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Winthrop Town as a whole (5.9/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of Cottage Hill?
Cottage Hill has 3,959 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (78.6%), Hispanic / Latino (14.8%), Black (non-Hispanic) (3.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
