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Neighborhood · Winthrop Town, MA

Cottage Hill Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 4,031 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.2/10 · range 3.2–3.2

Cottage Hill is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Winthrop Town with 1 census tract and a population of 4,031 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 3.2/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 58% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 29% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $2,129/month sits 3% higher than the Winthrop Town citywide average ($2,064).

Risk score
3.2
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Cottage Hill vs Winthrop Town How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
58.2% +83%
Winthrop Town: 31.8%
Average gross rent
$2,129 +3%
Winthrop Town: $2,064
Average HH income
$113,214 +3%
Winthrop Town: $109,951
Poverty rate
6.3% -9%
Winthrop Town: 7.0%
Renter share
45.0% +5%
Winthrop Town: 43.1%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Cottage Hill and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3.2–3.2

Why Cottage Hill scores 3.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts
6.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.2–8.2 across tracts
8.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.3–8.3 across tracts
8.3
Rent control risk
58% of income on rent · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
45% renter households · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Economic stress
6.3% below poverty line · Range 1.6–1.6 across tracts
1.6
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Risk score comparison

Cottage Hill vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Cottage Hill score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Cottage Hill: 3.23.2Cottage HillNeighborhoodParent city: 5.95.9Parent cityhost cityState: 6.26.2Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Cottage Hill

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
25025180500 3.2 4,031 58% $2,129
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 24

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 12%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 28%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 38%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 55%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Cottage Hill

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 104Total filings (sum)
  • 2.18%Avg annual filing rate
  • 2.4%Peak year (2013)
  • 2.64%Latest filed (2016)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 68Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.5Avg monthly observed
  • 1.9Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.78×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston, MA).

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Cottage Hill

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Cottage Hill

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Cottage Hill?

Cottage Hill scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Cottage Hill compare to Winthrop Town overall?

Cottage Hill scores 2.7 points lower than Winthrop Town overall (5.9/10). Renters spend 58% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $2,129 vs $2,064.
Q3

What is the average rent in Cottage Hill?

Average gross rent in Cottage Hill is $2,129/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Cottage Hill residents are renters?

45% of Cottage Hill households are renter-occupied (vs 43% in Winthrop Town). The neighborhood has 4,031 residents.
Q5

Is Cottage Hill a high social-vulnerability area?

Cottage Hill sits in the 24th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Cottage Hill for landlords?

Cottage Hill carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.2/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Winthrop Town as a whole (5.9/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Cottage Hill?

Cottage Hill has 3,959 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (78.6%), Hispanic / Latino (14.8%), Black (non-Hispanic) (3.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Cottage Hill

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Winthrop Town

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Cottage Hill.

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