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Neighborhood · Winthrop Town, MA

Cottage Park Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 4,963 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.1/10 · range 3.1–3.1

Cottage Park is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Winthrop Town with 2 census tracts and a population of 4,963 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 3.1/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 46% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 28% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $2,220/month sits 8% higher than the Winthrop Town citywide average ($2,064).

Risk score
3.1
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
Cottage Park vs Winthrop Town How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
46.4% +46%
Winthrop Town: 31.8%
Average gross rent
$2,220 +8%
Winthrop Town: $2,064
Average HH income
$128,561 +17%
Winthrop Town: $109,951
Poverty rate
5.6% -20%
Winthrop Town: 7.0%
Renter share
37.2% -14%
Winthrop Town: 43.1%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Cottage Park and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3.1–3.1

Why Cottage Park scores 3.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts
6.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.2–8.2 across tracts
8.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.3–8.3 across tracts
8.3
Rent control risk
46% of income on rent · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
37% renter households · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Economic stress
5.6% below poverty line · Range 1.0–2.3 across tracts
1.8
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.4–3.9 across tracts
2.9
Risk score comparison

Cottage Park vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Cottage Park score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Cottage Park: 3.13.1Cottage ParkNeighborhoodParent city: 5.95.9Parent cityhost cityState: 6.26.2Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Cottage Park

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
25025180301 3.1 2,888 46% $2,517
25025180400 3.1 2,075 47% $1,807
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 15

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 15%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 26%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 25%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 26%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Cottage Park

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 49Total filings (sum)
  • 1.64%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.3%Peak year (2015)
  • 1.22%Latest filed (2016)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 40Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.4Avg monthly observed
  • 0.4Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.85×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston, MA).

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Cottage Park

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Cottage Park

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Cottage Park?

Cottage Park scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Cottage Park compare to Winthrop Town overall?

Cottage Park scores 2.8 points lower than Winthrop Town overall (5.9/10). Renters spend 46% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $2,220 vs $2,064.
Q3

What is the average rent in Cottage Park?

Average gross rent in Cottage Park is $2,220/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Cottage Park residents are renters?

37% of Cottage Park households are renter-occupied (vs 43% in Winthrop Town). The neighborhood has 4,963 residents.
Q5

Is Cottage Park a high social-vulnerability area?

Cottage Park sits in the 15th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Cottage Park have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Cottage Park is census tract 25025180301 (score 3.1/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.1 to 3.1, a spread of 0 points.
Q7

How safe is Cottage Park for landlords?

Cottage Park carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.1/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Winthrop Town as a whole (5.9/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Cottage Park?

Cottage Park has 4,990 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (86.7%), Hispanic / Latino (6.6%), Other / Multiracial (3.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Cottage Park

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Winthrop Town

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Cottage Park.

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