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Neighborhood · Winthrop Town, MA

Cottage Park Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 4,963 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.5/10 · range 4.5–4.5

Cottage Park spans 2 census tracts of Winthrop Town, MA and houses 4,963 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 4.5/10, in the Moderate tier. Cost burden runs 46% against 31.8% citywide, putting Cottage Park 14.6% over its own city.

28% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. The clearest offset is economic stress, at 1.8/10.

Court records carry 49 eviction filings across its 2 observed tracts. Running cool is supply constraint, at 2.9/10.

3.7% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt. Food insecurity affects 8.6% of adults, 9.2 points below the national rate. The worst year on record was 2015, when filings touched 3.3% of renter households.

The most recent observed rate, 1.4% in 2016, is well off that peak. At $2,220 a month, rents sit 8% over what the rest of Winthrop Town commands.

The closest comparables inside the same city are Cottage Hill and Winthrop Highlands. Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. The 2 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0 points apart at the extremes.

Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $128,561.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
4.5
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Cottage Park vs Winthrop Town How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
46.4% +46%
Winthrop Town: 31.8%
Average gross rent
$2,220 +8%
Winthrop Town: $2,064
Average HH income
$128,561 +17%
Winthrop Town: $109,951
Poverty rate
5.6% -20%
Winthrop Town: 7.0%
Renter share
37.2% -14%
Winthrop Town: 43.1%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Cottage Park and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 4.5–4.5

Why Cottage Park scores 4.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts
6.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.2–8.2 across tracts
8.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.3–8.3 across tracts
8.3
Rent control risk
46% of income on rent · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
37% renter households · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Economic stress
5.6% below poverty line · Range 1.0–2.3 across tracts
1.8
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.4–3.9 across tracts
2.9
Risk score comparison

Cottage Park vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Cottage Park score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.5Cottage ParkNeighborhood5.9Parent cityhost city6.4Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Cottage Park

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
25025180301 4.5 2,888 46% $2,517
25025180400 4.5 2,075 47% $1,807
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 15

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 15%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 26%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 25%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 26%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Cottage Park

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 49Total filings (sum)
  • 1.64%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.3%Peak year (2015)
  • 1.22%Latest filed (2016)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 40Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.4Avg monthly observed
  • 0.4Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.85×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston, MA).

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Cottage Park

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Cottage Park

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Cottage Park?

Cottage Park scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Cottage Park compare to Winthrop Town overall?

Cottage Park scores 1.4 points lower than Winthrop Town overall (5.9/10). Renters spend 46% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $2,220 vs $2,064.
Q3

What is the average rent in Cottage Park?

Average gross rent in Cottage Park is $2,220/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Cottage Park residents are renters?

37% of Cottage Park households are renter-occupied (vs 43% in Winthrop Town). The neighborhood has 4,963 residents.
Q5

Is Cottage Park a high social-vulnerability area?

Cottage Park sits in the 15th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Cottage Park have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Cottage Park is census tract 25025180301 (score 4.5/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.5 to 4.5, a spread of 0 points.
Q7

How safe is Cottage Park for landlords?

Cottage Park carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.5/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Winthrop Town as a whole (5.9/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Cottage Park?

Cottage Park has 4,990 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (86.7%), Hispanic / Latino (6.6%), Other / Multiracial (3.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Cottage Park

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Winthrop Town

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Cottage Park.

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