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Neighborhood · Ranked #7,836 of 84,120 nationally

Beaver Street Historic District Eviction Risk: High , Worcester

Tract 25027731203 · Worcester County, MA · pop 5,764 · neighborhood within 0.0 mi

Census tract 25027731203 covers part of the Beaver Street Historic District area of Worcester, MA, and scores 8/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,764 residents. What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10.

Risk score
8
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 50% Stable renters 40% Owners 10%
Tract context
Occupied units2,399
Renter share90.3%
SVI overall0.92
Poverty rate50.8%
Median income$27,113

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Beaver Street Historic District
Moderate
Within parent city
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#9 of 46 tracts In Worcester
High
Within county
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#16 of 191 tracts In Worcester County
Very High
Within state
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#213 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Worcester and the region

Centroid at 42.2508, -71.8257 · click any tract to drill in

Why Beaver Street Historic District scores 8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Worcester
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
50.8% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,185 rent vs county FMR
1.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Worcester
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Worcester
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Worcester
7.0

How Beaver Street Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Beaver Street Historic District risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 8.08.0This tracttract 731203Worcester: 6.66.6Worcesterparent cityCounty: 5.85.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 6.26.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 92

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 122Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 6.98%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.0%Peak (2015)
  • 122Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Beaver Street Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Beaver Street Historic District

Annualized rent equals 52% of average household income of $27,113, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Food insecurity runs 42.6% against 17.8% nationally.

The poverty rate is 51%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. The severe-burden share is 32%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

This is renter territory: 90% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Against the Worcester County average of 5.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.2 points.

Against Worcester County at 44.4%, 56% of renters here are cost-burdened. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.4/10. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 22.1% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

Average gross rent is $1,185, 20% below the Worcester average. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 122 filings here across 1 tracked years. On the high side, local political climate reads 7/10.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 25027731203

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25027731203?

Census tract 25027731203 in the Beaver Street Historic District neighborhood scores 8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25027731203?

Median gross rent is $1,185/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25027731203?

50.8% of residents in tract 25027731203 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,764.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25027731203?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 92th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 92th, household 72th, minority 72th, housing 90th.
Q5

Is tract 25027731203 considered part of Beaver Street Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25027731203 fall within Beaver Street Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25027731203?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 122 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 25027731203 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.98% of renter households, peaking at 7.0% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 25027731203 struggle to pay rent?

About 28.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 22.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 25027731203 compare to Worcester overall?

Tract 25027731203 scores 8/10, higher than the parent city of Worcester at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Worcester eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Worcester

Top eight tracts in Worcester ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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